Free MLB Pick: Cardinals vs Reds Odds
Looking for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Cardinals taking on the Reds on Thursday, April 12, 2018 at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati Ohio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Cardinals Reds free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(5-6) St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds (2-8)
Date: Thursday, April 12, 2018
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati Ohio
Projected Pitchers: Michael Wacha vs. Sal Romano
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cardinals -127
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Cardinals -1.5 (+125)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9
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St. Louis Cardinals
Wacha collected his first win of the season in an okay bounce-back game after giving up four earned in just 4.2 innings in his first start. He was able to make it five innings giving up two earned off of four hits while striking out five and walking five. For someone who has a career BB/9 of 2.93, it is concerning to see that he has a current BB/9 of 6.52 and a 7:7 BB:K ratio.
In his last two seasons he has had a lower FIP than ERA meaning he pitched better than what his ERA would indicate, but now his 6.75 FIP is higher than his 5.59 ERA meaning it is on him. He’ll need to rectify his BB:K ratio if he wants to turn his season around.
St. Louis’ lineup has been slumping as they are only slashing .217/.298/.293 in the last week, while they only hit nine extra-base hits and 20 RBI. They have also been undisciplined at the plate with a 36:105 BB:K ratio.
Romano was only able to make it five innings giving up four earned off of seven hits while he struck out one and walked one. He put his team in a bad spot against the Pittsburgh Pirates, but he was fortunate enough to get the no-decision as Cincinnati would come back late in the game to win it 7-4.
He can barely produce any strikeouts (2.45 K/9), while the free bases (4.09 BB/9) are still coming in. Although the 5:3 BB:K ratio is concerning, I’m more concerned about his 68.2% LOB% while he has so far posted a .231 BABIP meaning even though he has been really lucky, he is still having problems stranding base runners.
Like St. Louis’ lineup, Cincinnati’s lineup has been slumping hard only slashing .227/.314/.294 in the last week while only hitting seven extra-base hits and 17 RBI. They’ve done all right at the plate as far as being disciplined as they own a 36:89 BB:K ratio.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 6-2 in STL last 8 Thu. games.
- STL are 10-4 in Wachas last 14 Thu. starts.
- STL are 11-1 in Wachas last 12 starts vs. CIN.
- CIN are 1-9 in their last 10 home games.
- CIN are 7-19 in their last 26 games as an underdog.
- CIN are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.
Free St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Prediction: St. Louis takes out Cincinnati
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Cardinals -127
Not a lot to like from this matchup, neither pitcher is pitching great while neither lineup is hitting great, but I’ll back Wacha as St. Louis has gone 11-1 in his last 12 starts against Cincinnati.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Cardinals 5 – Cincinnati 4
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