Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Padres Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(39-42) Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (47-34)
Date: Monday, July 4th, 2022
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Petco Park San Diego
Projected Pitchers: Chris Flexen (SEA) vs. Sean Manaea (SD)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners +150, Padres -180
MLB run line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5, Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
The San Diego Padres play host to the Seattle Mariners on Monday evening from Petco Park in the opener of their mid-week series.
The AL and NL foes face off for the first time this season after the Padres swept the three-game set between the two back in May of 2021.
Seattle Mariners
Much like has been the case the past few seasons, a slow start was the talk of the first few months of action in Seattle. It wasn’t long ago that they found themselves in the bottom of the AL West, though a nice surge of late has them inching closer and closer to Wild Card consideration.
The Astros seem to be running away with the division but that hasn’t deterred Seattle’s ability to find some confidence and momentum. They’ve gone 7-3 in their last 10 games and even with a losing record on the road, have put themselves in a striking distance.
Seattle’s offense has shown improvement of late but they still have a long way to go to find the punch that they had for parts of the second half of last season. They rank 25th in the league in runs scored per nine innings and batting average while continuing to rank in the bottom half of basketball in nearly every other offensive category.
From a position player standpoint, last week’s brawl has them without one key bat, as Jesse Winker continues to serve his suspension. Adding that to Ty France (elbow), Kyle Lewis (concussion), Mitch Haniger (ankle), and Evan White (groin) being out, the lineup has some obstacles to overcome.
San Diego Padres
A rough stretch, highlighted by a road trip closing out in Los Angeles, has seen the Padres fall slightly back in the NL West standings. While once neck-and-neck with the Dodgers, their losing record over the last ten games still has them steadily in second place, though grabbing a series win against the Mariners could help shift momentum and confidence back into the right direction.
The Padres have seen their offensive production take a slight step back this season, though they still have a handful of players who can make opposing pitchers pay on any given night. They rank in the top half of baseball in runs scored per nine innings and strikeouts, though it has been the low home run numbers that have held them back on nights where they struggle to get much going on the scoreboard.
Much like their opponent, the Padres have had quite a few injuries they’ve been aiming to navigate. Fernando Tatis Jr. (wrist) is the most notable absence, though hasn’t appeared in a game all season. Will Myers (knee) also remains out, further depleting the power in the lineup, while they’ll be without three relievers and three starters as well.
In Tatis Jr.’s absence, Manny Machado (.326 average, 12 HRs, 46 RBI, .397 OBP) has taken the lead across nearly every offensive category.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Mariners are 22-19 on the road
- Mariners O/U are 20-20-1 on the road
- Padres are 14-23 ATS at home
- Padres O/U are 13-23-1 at home
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction:
Being at home will help as well and with the wind blowing out and facing a handful of arms that allow the long ball, the Padres should be able to take advantage with the big bats in the middle of their lineup.
Adding in Manaea being on the mound and all of his experience against Seattle, this one is primed to fall San Diego’s way.
Give me the Padres.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Padres -1.5
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