Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Padres on Friday, May 16th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Padres free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres
(23-19) Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres (27-15)
Date: Friday, May 16th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Logan Evans vs. Stephen Kolek
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners +129 | Padres -151 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mariners vs. Padres Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET, the Mariners and Padres square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego, and the Padres are the heavy favorite on the money line (-151). The money line odds for a Mariners win are sitting at +129, and they are currently 1st in the AL West.
Friday’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and APLTV is carrying this one on TV. Logan Evans is starting for the Mariners, and the Padres will send Stephen Kolek to the mound.
Seattle Mariners
Seattle closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the top of the 9th. The Mariners were the +100 underdog at home going into the game.
Luis Castillo put together a good start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out six. However, the Mariners couldnjson’t close things out, and Carlos Vargas took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners also wasted a big game from Cal Raleigh, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Seattle is on the road today, taking on the Padres, with the Mariners leading the AL West by a half-game over the Rangers. So far, they have gone 13-5 against other teams in the AL West. Overall, the Mariners are 23-19 and are looking to get back on track, as they dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Yankees.
At home, the Mariners are 13-11 this year and have gone 10-8 on the road. As the underdog, Seattle has an overall record of 23-19, and they have won two straight games as the road underdog. Their overall series record is 9-4-1, but they have dropped two straight series.
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Mariners Stats
Julio Rodríguez has been a bright spot in the Mariners lineup of late, going 12/41 in his last 10 games with two homers. For the season, he is batting just .229, but his seven homers is 3rd on the team and 9th in the league. Cal Raleigh is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 13 long balls are the best mark on the team and 3rd in the MLB. He is also 2nd on the Mariners with 28 RBIs.
As a team, the Mariners are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs and have the 2nd most walks in the league. Seattle comes into the game with a team batting average of .239.
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San Diego Padres
Xander Bogaerts had only one hit in the Padres’s most recent game vs. the Angels, but it was a big one, as it was a home run. The Padres went on to pick up the json 5-1, and Bogaerts’s homer was part of their big 3rd inning. San Diego’s offense was hot right out of the gates, as they scored three runs in the 1st inning and added another two in the 3rd.
Randy Vasquez put together a good start for the Padres, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out five Angels batters. San Diego’s bullpen closed things out with three scoreless innings.
San Diego will host the Mariners today with an overall record of 27-15, and they are 2nd in the NL West, one game behind the Dodgers. The Padres trail the Dodgers by one game, and they have been great against other teams in their division, going 7-1 this year.
At home, the Padres are 16-5 this year, and they have gone 11-10 on the road. So far, they have yet to lose a game as the favorite. San Diego’s two-game winning streak has come in the final two games of their series vs. the Angels.
Padres Stats
So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s top offensive teams, as they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are one of the best-hitting teams in the league, with a team batting average of .264. Not only do they have the fewest strikeouts in the league, but they also have the 6th best on-base percentage in the league. San Diego’s offense has been especially good at home, as they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are batting .264.
Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. have been two of the Padres’ top hitters this season, with Machado batting .340 and Tatis Jr. not far behind at .308. Machado has been even better of late, hitting .556 over his last eight games. During this stretch, he has scored 10 runs. Tatis Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/33 (.273) with three homers in his last eight games.
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Mariners Padres Pitching
Logan Evans is getting the start for the Mariners today on the road against the Padres. Evans has had a bit of an up-and-down season so far, with a win in his first start, followed by a loss and a no-decision. He has given up 1 home run in each of his first two starts.
Stephen Kolek has been lights out in his first two starts for the Padres, picking up wins in both outings. He went 5 1/3 innings in his first start and then threw a complete game shutout in his last outing. Kolek struck out 7 in that game and has only given up 5 hits over his first 14 1/3 innings.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mariners head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mariners they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mariners are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Mariners vs. Padres Prediction: Padres -1.5
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the run line. We have the final score at 6-2 in favor of the Padres, and with the payout, we see this as the best bet for today’s game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Logan Evans finishing with five strikeouts, and for Stephen Kolek, we have him finishing with six.
As for the offenses, the Mariners are projected to finish with eleven strikeouts, compared to the Padres, who are projected to finish with six.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Armed Forces Weekend Advisory: pic.twitter.com/sRXakn231r
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) May 15, 2025
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