Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Astros at Minute Maid Park, Houston Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Astros free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(11-10-0) Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros (11-10-0)
Date: Monday, May 2nd
Time: 8:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston
Projected Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Jake Odorizzi
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners 105 Astros -125
MLB run line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5, Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
Seattle Mariners
As the Seattle Mariners travel to take on the Houston Astros, they are off to a strong start, going 11-10-0, placing them 2nd in the AL West division. Seattle has gone 5-8 in their games on the road. The Mariners are hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 7-3 win over the Miami. To start the year, Seattle has picked up just 3 series wins, going 3-3-1.
Against Houston, the Mariners will send Marco Gonzales to the mound. Through 4 starts Gonzales has picked up just 1 wins, with an overall record of 1-2. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 3.86. This comes while averaging 3.5 per outing. If Gonzales is going to bring down his ERA, he needs to lower his batting average allowed of 0.279, placing him in the bottom half of the league among starting pitchers. His rough start to the year is also backed by a FIP score of 5.83, an above-average figure for MLB starters. A key factor for this rating is that he is giving up an average of 2.57 homers per 9 innings pitched.
To start the year, Seattle’s offense is off to a good start, averaging 4.52 runs per contest, placing them 7th in the league. So far, the Mariners have successfully been able to drive in runs, despite ranking 15th in team batting average (0.233). Even though Seattle’s offense is off to a slow start in team batting average, they are averaging 1.00 home runs per contest. On average, the Mariners has been able to drive the ball over the fence once every 33.57 at-bats, good for 11th. The team’s ability to hit the long ball has also led a slugging percentage of 0.386 (11th).
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros come into their game against Seattle, looking to build on their record of 11-10-0. Through 21 games, they are 2nd in the AL West division. So far, things have been tough for Houston at home, going just 2-4 at Minute Maid Park. The Astros hope to get back on track, after falling to Toronto by a score of 3-2 Houston will look to turn things around as they have won just 2, going a combined 2-4-1.
For Houston, Jake Odorizzi comes into this game making 5th start of the season, having picked up just 1 win, on an overall 1-2. On average, Odorizzi is going 3.75 innings per outing and will look to lower an ERA sitting at 6.0. If he is going to turn things around, Odorizzi will be looking to lower his batting average allowed, which currently sits at 0.283. So far, his FIP rating of 4.52, is a confirmation of Odorizzi’s overall struggles on the mound. Even with a strong FIP number, Jake Odorizzi is not being hurt by home runs as he is allowing just 0.6 home runs per 9 innings, including an HR/FB (flyball) ratio of 4.2.
On offense, Houston comes into the game averaging 3.81 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. A key reason for the Astros lack of run-scoring is a team batting average that sits at just (0.214), placing them 24th in the league. Even though Houston’s lineup has yet to find consistency at the plate, they are averaging 1.19 home runs per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 51-23 in their last 74 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction:
For the season, Seattle’s offense has been tough on right-handed pitching, ranking 9th in runs scored. So far, the team has had no problem stringing together hits, as their combined batting average with righties on the mound is 0.238 (13th). In addition to getting on base with their bats, the team has also shown their patience at the plate against right-handers, posting a BB% of 9.4. With righties on the mound, the Mariners have a SLG% of 0.382 (13th), while also ranking 15th in home runs. Look for the Mariners to pick up the win over Houston.
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