Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Astros at Minute Maid Park, Houston Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Astros free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(12-11-0) Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros (12-11-0)
Date: Wednesday, May 4th
Time: 02:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston
Projected Pitchers: Matt Brash vs. Justin Verlander
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners 141 Astros -170
MLB run line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5, Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
Seattle Mariners
As the Seattle Mariners travel to take on the Houston Astros, they are off to a strong start, going 12-11-0, placing them 2nd in the AL West division. Seattle has gone 5-9 in their games on the road. The Mariners will be looking to bounce back, after falling to the Houston by a score of 3-0 To start the year, Seattle has picked up just 3 series wins, going 3-4-1.
Against Houston, the Mariners will send Matt Brash to the mound. Through 4 starts Brash has picked up just 1 win, with an overall record of 1-2. Heading into his start, he has an ERA of 6.88. This comes while averaging 4.25 per outing. If Brash is going to bring down his ERA, he needs to lower his batting average allowed of 0.286, placing him in the bottom half of the league among starting pitchers. His rough start to the year is also backed by a FIP score of 5.96, an above-average figure for MLB starters.
To start the year, Seattle’s offense is off to a good start, averaging 4.43 runs per contest, placing them 10th in the league. So far, the Mariners have successfully been able to drive in runs, despite ranking 14th in team batting average (0.236). Even though Seattle’s offense is off to a slow start in team batting average, they are averaging 1.00 home runs per contest. On average, the Mariners has been able to drive the ball over the fence once every 33.35 at-bats, good for 13th.
Houston Astros
The Houston Astros come into their game against Seattle, looking to build on their record of 12-11-0. Through 23 games, they are 2nd in the AL West division. Houston will be looking for some improved play at home, going 3-4 in their 7 games at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are looking to keep things rolling as they are coming off a 3-0 win over Seattle. Houston will look to turn things around as they have won just 3, going a combined 3-4-1.
For Houston, Justin Verlander comes into this game making his 5th start of the season, on an overall record of 2-1. To date, Verlander is lasting an average of 6.5 innings per appearance while posting a strong ERA of just 1.73. Opposing teams are having trouble generating runs against him as they are hitting just 0.161 against the right-hander. In addition to a strong earned run average, his FIP confirms 3.0 his performances thus far. Despite his strong FIP, home runs have been an issue for Verlander as he is giving up 1.04 homers per 9 innings pitched on an HR/FB (flyball) ratio of 10.7%.
On offense, Houston comes into the game averaging 3.70 runs per game, placing them 21st in the league. A key reason for the Astros’ lack of run-scoring is a team batting average that sits at just (0.216), placing them 25th in the league. Even though Houston’s lineup has yet to find consistency at the plate, they are averaging 1.17 home runs per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Mariners are 15-6 in their last 21 vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 26-11 in their last 37 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Prediction:
For the season, Seattle’s offense has been tough on right-handed pitching, ranking 6th in runs scored. So far, the team has had no problem stringing together hits, as their combined batting average with righties on the mound is 0.242 (10th). In addition to getting on base with their bats, the team has also shown their patience at the plate against right-handers, posting a BB% of 9.6. However, with Justin Verlander on the mound, I see Seattle falling short. Look for the Astros to pick up the win.
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