Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Astros Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Astros on Monday, September 23rd, 2024 at Minute Maid Park, in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Astros free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros
(80-76) Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros (85-71)
Date: Monday, September 23rd
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park Houston, TX
Projected Starting Pitchers: Bryce Miller vs. Hunter Brown
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners +130 | Astros -153 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5 | Astros -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Mariners vs. Astros Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET in Houston, the Astros are hosting the Mariners in an AL West showdown. The Astros are the favorites at -153, while the Mariners are the underdogs at +130. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over at -120 and the under at +100.
On the mound for the Mariners is Bryce Miller, while the Astros are countering with Hunter Brown. The Astros currently lead the AL West with an 85-71 record, while the Mariners are in second place with a record of 80-76.
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 80-76 overall this season, putting them five games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. Today, they are on the road to take on the Astros and are 2nd in the AL West. The Mariners are 27-19 in AL West games this season.
As the favorite, the Mariners have gone 58-48 this season, and they are 22-28 as the underdog. Seattle has won two straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 21-24-4 this year.
Seattle is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 6-5 loss to the Rangers, Cal Raleigh went deep, and the Mariners scored three runs in the 6th inning.
However, they couldn’t close things out, and Andrés Muñoz took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mariners were also the -138 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Offensively, the Mariners scored their five runs on eight hits and only had one home run.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle is on the road against Houston today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have been involved in games with an average of 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-73. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 21-23.
Overall, 55 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 35.3% of their games.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 67-89 overall. The Mariners have been a better bet on the road, where they are 34-44 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-25 against the run line in those games.
Seattle has an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game this season.
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Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs at home this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game at home, which ranks 28th in the league. Their overall batting average of .223 is 22nd in the league, but they do draw walks at a high rate, ranking 3rd in the league in that category.
Julio Rodríguez has been one of the team’s top hitters this season, with a .272 batting average, 19 home runs, and 63 RBIs. He’s been hot lately, hitting .433 over his last 6 games. Cal Raleigh leads the team with 31 home runs and 95 RBIs this season.
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Houston Astros
Houston is hosting the Mariners today with a five-game lead in the AL West. The Astros are 85-71 overall and lead the division by five games over the Mariners. So far, they have gone 28-21 against their divisional opponents.
The Astros have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 45-33. On the road, they are just above .500 at 40-38. As the favorite, the Astros are 66-50 this year and 42-28 when favored at home. Houston’s overall series record is 27-20-2, and they went 3-1 in their most recent series vs. the Angels.
Houston closed out their series vs. the Angels with a 9-8 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -272. Things looked good for the Astros early on, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning and added three more runs in the 5th.
However, the Astros couldn’t close things out, and the Angels scored four runs in the top of the 9th to steal the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Alex Bregman, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Astros Gambling
The Astros have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 64-87, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 10-18. Overall, 78.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last three games.
When the Astros are at home, they are 38-40 against the run line, which is a .487 winning percentage. Their average run margin in those games is +1.1 runs per game. Overall, Houston is 81-75 against the run line, which is a .519 winning percentage.
Astros Stats
The Houston Astros have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 10th in runs per game with 4.6. They have been particularly strong at home, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Their batting average of .263 is 3rd in the MLB, and they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts per game. Yordan Alvarez has been their best hitter this season, with a .308 batting average, .392 on-base percentage, 35 home runs, and 86 RBIs.
Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat lately, hitting .276 with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs over his last 7 games. The Astros have a few players on hitting streaks, including Victor Caratini, Jeremy Peña, and Yainer Diaz, who are all on 4-game hitting streaks.
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Mariners Astros Pitching
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-8 with an ERA of 3.06. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Miller finished with a no-decision vs. the Yankees. In that start, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Miller has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.21 compared to 4.9 on the road.
Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today and comes in with a record of 11-8 and ERA of 3.57. So far, he has made 29 starts and 18 of them have been quality starts. Brown’s ERA at home is 3.69, and he has a record of 5-4 at home compared to 6-4 on the road. In his last outing, Brown finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Opponents are batting .235 off Brown this season.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mariners head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mariners they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Astros are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Astros have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mariners are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Astros have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Mariners vs. Astros matchup is that the Mariners will come out on top by a score of 5-3. Given that they are predicted to win and have a higher payout, we recommend taking the Mariners on the money line, where the payout is +130.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Hunter Brown is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for the Mariners starter, Bryce Miller is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Last Mission.
Tomorrow we will will have an opportunity to clinch the AL West while wearing our Space City uniform for the final time. We will retire these uniforms and launch a new City Connect in the 2025 season.https://t.co/A7t8QGgsQ8 pic.twitter.com/m47eAOq1ND
— Houston Astros (@astros) September 23, 2024
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