Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Red Sox on Monday, July 29th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Red Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox
(56-51) Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox (55-49)
Date: Monday, July 29th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Logan Gilbert vs. Nick Pivetta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners +106 | Red Sox -124 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mariners +1.5 | Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Gameday
At 7:10 PM ET in Boston, the Red Sox will host the Mariners at Fenway Park. The current forecast calls for 63 degrees with moderate rain, so it could be a wet one at the ballpark. The pitching matchup features Logan Gilbert for Seattle against Nick Pivetta for Boston.
Looking at the odds, the Red Sox are favored in this one with a money line payout of -124 compared to +106 for the Mariners. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -113 compared to -107 for the under.
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is on the road today, taking on the Red Sox, and they come in having won three straight games. The Mariners are 56-51 overall, and they are tied with the Astros for the AL West lead. Seattle’s overall series record is 15-17-2, and they have lost five straight series at home.
At home, the Mariners are 31-23 this year and 25-28 on the road. As the road underdog, the Mariners are 12-14 this season, and they have won three straight as the road underdog. Seattle has an overall record of 37-32 as the favorite this year.
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The Mariners’ offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the White Sox, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Mariners added another run in the 2nd to take a 3-0 lead. The White Sox scored their only run of the game in the 3rd to cut into the Mariners’ lead. Seattle added another three runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. Going into the game, the Mariners were the slight favorite at -131.
Bryce Miller put together a good start for the Mariners, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just three runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Mariners Gambling
The Mariners are on the road against the Red Sox today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Seattle’s games this season is 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 45-57. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-3. Overall, only 8.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, with the average line being set at 8 runs per game. Their current over streak is at 3 games.
Seattle has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 48-59 overall. The Mariners have been a better bet on the run line at home, going 23-31, compared to 25-28 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 21-17 as an underdog on the run line this season.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which ranks 28th in MLB. Their offense has been particularly anemic at home, where they average just 3.4 runs per game, 29th in the league. They have a low team batting average of .218, which ranks 21st, and they strike out 10 times per game, the 27th worst mark in the league. However, their walk rate is 6th best in the league. If they are going to generate offense, they will need big performances from Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, and Cal Raleigh, who are their top hitters this season. Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles are both on 4-game hitting streaks and have been hot at the plate recently.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston will host the Mariners with an overall record of 55-49, which has them 3rd in the AL East, 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. The Red Sox dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 14-13 in AL East matchups.
The Red Sox have really struggled at home this year, going 25-27 compared to 30-22 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 31-22 and 24-27 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 16-13-5, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Red Sox will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with an 8-2 loss. Boston was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Yankees scored three times in the first.
Tanner Houck put together a good start for the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Boston’s offense scored their only two runs in the 4th inning and finished with seven hits.
Red Sox Gambling
The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Seattle Mariners today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have had a combined run average of 9.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-12, and they have gone over the line in four straight games.
When betting the run line on the Red Sox, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road than at home. Boston is 29-23 against the run line on the road compared to 19-33 at home. The Red Sox have been favored in 53 games this season and are just 19-34 against the run line in those contests. They are 29-22 against the run line as the underdog. The average run differential in their wins is +4.1, while it’s -4.2 in their losses.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 8th in runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Their batting average of .258 is 3rd in the MLB, and their OPS of .760 is 4th. Rafael Devers has been one of their top hitters, with a .297 batting average and 23 home runs this season. He has been hot lately, hitting .526 over his last 5 games. Tyler O’Neill has also been swinging a hot bat, hitting .375 over his last 4 games.
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Mariners Red Sox Pitching
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. Gilbert has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-6 with a 2.72 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .185 off Gilbert this season. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in 17 quality starts. Gilbert’s most recent outing came vs. the Angels, where he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4-2 record and 3.30 ERA compared to 2-4 with a 3.07 ERA at home.
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rockies, as he gave up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, Pivetta had a string of six straight quality starts. His ERA for the season is 4.50, along with a record of 4-7. Pivetta’s WHIP for the season is 1.18, and he is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 15 homers this season.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mariners head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mariners they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mariners are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line. We actually have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 4-2, meaning you could also look to take the under, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-highest projection among all starters. As for Logan Gilbert, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is the seventh best among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
After being inducted into the Hall of Fame last weekend, renowned Red Sox radio broadcaster Joe Castiglione threw out tonight’s ceremonial first pitch! pic.twitter.com/MO2G1lrRzI
— Red Sox (@RedSox) July 28, 2024
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