Free MLB Pick: Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mariners taking on the Red Sox on Thursday, April 22nd, 2021 at Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mariners Red Sox free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Thursday, April 22nd, 2021
Time: 7:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
Projected Pitchers: Justin Dunn vs. Nick Pivetta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mariners +153 | Red Sox -163
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Sox -1.5 (+117)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U 9.5
These are two surprising division leaders. Do either of them have real staying power?
Seattle has been winning but when you look at their statistical profile you have to question whether they can keep it up. They are just not hitting or pitching particularly well and I am not sure there is expectation for a ton of improvement. Top hitter Kyle Lewis is back and maybe that gives them a little runway to keep playing well.
Justin Dunn is a classic case of a player who is bound for a fall. He has made two starts and is averaging more than a walk per inning. He has not given up very many hits but putting runners on like that is playing with fire and it drives up his pitch count preventing him from working deep into the game. Extra base runners at Fenway Park can be especially dangerous.
The bullpen has been very good to start the season. Turning Kendall Graveman into a closer is working really well so far and this group has been critical to their early success.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox are riding their offense to early success. They are tops in batting average and second in runs per game and with the hitters they have they can expect to continue to be among the league leaders. Pitching success might be more of a challenge.
Nick Pivetta has been effective for Boston but he is playing with fire. Like Dunn he just walks too many batters, 11BBs in just 14 innings so far this season. There is a reason that Philly moved on from the big righty and you have to wonder if that is coming. Boston has backed him tremendously, almost 11 runs per game.
The Boston bullpen has looked good. This team is playing in some high scoring games but this group seems to be able to stabiie things and give the bats a chance to power them to the win. Matt Barnes looks good as the closer.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 overall.
- Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Free Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
We ave two pitchers who love to put runners on base, and we are at Fenway Park. That makes it a no-brainer to back the over in this one. Maybe the walks are normalized but this is still a very friendly hitters park and the Red Sox have been pounding the ball for most of the season.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Over
All of Pivetta’s starts have gone over this season. I think we can lean into that one in this home start.
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