Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Yankees Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Yankees on Wednesday, May 7th, 2024 at Yankee Stadium, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Yankees free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
(23-12) San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees (20-16)
Date: Wednesday, May 7th
Time: 7:05 ET
Venue: Yankee Stadium New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Max Fried
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres +151 | Yankees -179 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Padres vs. Yankees Gameday
First pitch for Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Padres and Yankees is set for 7:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees are 1st in the AL East with a record of 20-16, while the Padres are 2nd in the NL West at 23-12.
New York is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -179 compared to the Padres at +151. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and SDPA will be starting Dylan Cease. The Yankees are sending Max Fried to the mound. This game can be seen on TV on SDPA.
New York cruised to a 12-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring ten of their twelve runs. As for the Padres, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -125 on the money line.
Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued five walks. Fernando Cruz came out of the bullpen for the win.
Michael King only went six innings for the Padres, giving up two earned runs on three hits. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Adrian Morejon took the loss.
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The Padres are 23-12 overall and are 0.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 5-0 in divisional games, and they will look to pick up another win vs. the Yankees today. At home, the Padres have been really good this year, going 14-4, and they are just above .500 at 9-8 on the road.
San Diego has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 7-4 this year. As the underdog, the Padres have been good this year, putting together an overall record of 23-12. So far, they have yet to be the favorite in a game.
Padres Stats
San Diego’s offense comes into today’s game with the 3rd best batting average in the league, but they are just 19th in runs scored and have the 17th most home runs in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4 runs per game, but that number jumps up to 4.6 when playing at home. The Padres have done a great job of putting the ball in play this season, as they are the league’s best team in terms of fewest strikeouts.
Fernando Tatis Jr. has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his eight home runs are the best mark on the team and 4th best in the league. He is also batting .321 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Manny Machado has gone 13/38 with a homer and six RBIs. This has helped him extend his hitting streak to seven games. Elias Diaz is also swinging the bat well, going 8/25 with two homers in his last 10 games.
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The Yankees are 20-16 overall and lead the AL East by 2.5 games over the Red Sox. New York is 7-6 in divisional games this year. The Yankees have gone just 5-5 over their last 10 games and are looking to take the series lead over the Padres today.
So far, the Yankees have been good at home, going 12-8 this year. On the road, they are currently at .500 with an 8-8 record. New York has yet to play a game as the favorite this year, as they are 0-0 in that scenario. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees are also 20-16 in those games. The Yankees have dropped two straight series and have an overall series record of 5-6 this year.
Yankees Stats
So far this season, the Yankees are the best home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s top offense, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Not only are they the best home run hitting team in the league, but they also have the best team batting average in the league at .262. This has helped them to the top OPS mark in the league at .816.
Aaron Judge has been the league’s top run producer so far this season, with 34 RBIs to go along with his 12 home runs. Judge is also hitting .412 for the season and has been even hotter of late, going 9/22 with three homers in his last six games. Cody Bellinger comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
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Padres Yankees Pitching
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.61. Cease’s WHIP for the season is 1.60, and he has issued 4.01 walks per nine innings compared to 10.43 strikeouts. Cease has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Cease has not taken the loss in any of his last three starts.
Max Fried has been dominant this season for the Yankees, as he comes into the game with a record of 6-0 and an ERA of 1.01. Fried has made seven starts this year and has come away with the win in all of them. In his most recent outing, he pitched seven innings, didn’t give up an earned run, and got the win. Fried has given up just two earned runs in a game once this season. Opponents are batting just .186 off the left-hander this season, and his ERA at home is 1.64 compared to 0.53 on the road.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Yankees MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Yankees are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Yankees have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Yankees have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Padres vs. Yankees Prediction: Over 8 Runs -109
Our recommended bet for this Padres vs. Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8. Our predicted final score is 9-4 in favor of the Yankees, giving us a little bit of wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Fried lasting longer in this one and finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease, who we have with seven.
However, Cease is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Fried, who we have giving up two earned runs.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Man. The Myth. The Judge. @TheJudge44 👨⚖️ pic.twitter.com/8pQzsBJGHQ
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) May 7, 2025
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