Free MLB Pick: Brewers vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Brewers taking on the Padres on Tuesday April 20th at PETCO Park. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this San Diego Padres free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(9-7) Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres (10-8)
Date: Tuesday, April 20th, 2021
Time: 10:10 PM ET
Venue: PETCO Park
Projected Pitchers: Corbin Burnes vs Chris Paddack
MLB Moneyline Odds: Brewers EVEN | Padres -120
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: San Diego +1.5 , Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.0
Two National League teams collide Tuesday as the Brewers travel to take on the Padres for game two of a three game set.
The Brewers come into this game having lost two of their last three games in a weekend series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. They were able to win in a low-scoring affair against the Padres in the first game of the series.
Corbin Burnes has arguably had the biggest turnaround from one season to another in MLB history. After posting an 8.82 ERA last year, Burnes is looking an NL Cy Young candidate early in the 2021 season.
Through three starts, Burnes has been dominant on the mound. He has yet to allow more than two hits and one run in any of his starts. On top of that, he has yet to walk a batter and has struck out 30 batters in 18 ⅓ frames this season without issuing a free pass. Burnes is five strikeouts from matching Adam Wainwright’s MLB record of 35 strikeouts before issuing his first free pass.
Burnes struck out ten batters in his last start against the Cubs, but he’ll have a tougher offense to deal with in San Diego. The Brewers will need Christian Yelich to step up as well, as he is just 4-of-24 with one home run on the season.
San Diego Padres
The Padres have had an up-and-down start to the 2021 season, now sitting at 10-8. They will trot out right-hander Chris Paddack Tuesday, who has been decent to start the season but is not at the level he was in 2019.
So far this season, Paddack is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.15. He allowed three runs in his last start against the Pirates in five innings of work. Paddack has, however, struggled with velocity and is in just the 18th percentile in strikeout percentage.
Fernando Tatis Jr., has continued to emerge as the one of the brightest stars in the MLB. The young shortstop is back to full strength and looks to right the ship, as he’s started just 4-of-31 with two home runs and two RBI’s. Last season, he knocked 17 home runs out of the park along with 45 RBI’s.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Brewers are 27-13 in their last 40 during game 2 of a series.
Free Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres MLB Prediction:
The Brewers are the play in this spot. Burnes is having an unprecedented start to the year, and while Paddack has fair numbers to start the 2021 season, his advanced analytics indicate that he has not been as effective as his previous campaigns. Milwaukee is being offered at a great price here against a Padres offense that has not quite found its footing to start the year. I’d also take the under given the struggles of these offenses and how effective Burnes has been on the mound.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Brewers ML, Under 7
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