Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Dodgers Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Dodgers on Wednesday, September 25th, 2024 at Dodger Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Dodgers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
(91-66) San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (93-64)
Date: Wednesday, September 25th
Time: 10:10 ET
Venue: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Jack Flaherty
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres +120 | Dodgers -142 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres +1.5 | Dodgers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Padres vs. Dodgers Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Los Angeles, as the Dodgers host the Padres in a key NL West matchup. First pitch is set for 10:10 PM ET at Dodger Stadium, with clear skies and a temperature of 78 degrees in the forecast.
The Dodgers are favored in this one, with a money line of -142 compared to the Padres at +120. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -106. Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers, while Dylan Cease will take the mound for the Padres.
San Diego picked up a 4-2 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Dodgers got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 9th.
Michael King only went five innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two walks. Robert Suarez got the save. Landon Knack struggled on the mound for the Dodgers, giving up four runs in four innings of work.
Jake Cronenworth and Xander Bogaerts each homered for the Padres, while Will Smith went 2/3 with an RBI for the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernandez also had a two-hit game at the plate.
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San Diego is on a five-game winning streak, and they are 91-66 overall this season. The Padres are 2.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 25-22 in divisional matchups. The Padres have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 29-15-6 this year.
This season, the Padres have been good on the road, putting together a record of 46-30. They have also been strong at home, going 45-36. San Diego has won four straight games on the road, and they are 24-16 as road underdogs this year. As the favorite, the Padres are 60-42 and 31-24 as the underdog.
San Diego is on the road against the Dodgers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Padres have an over/under record of 80-73 this season, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 24-25, and 57.3% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Their games have gone under the total in their last two games.
Padres Gambling
San Diego is 48-28 vs. the run line on the road this season, and the Padres’ average run margin in those games is +1.2. They are 38-17 vs. the run line as an underdog, and their average run margin in those games is +0.6. San Diego has covered the run line in two straight games as an underdog.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season, ranking 8th in runs per game overall and 6th on the road. Their .265 team batting average is the best in the league, and they also rank 1st in fewest strikeouts per game. Their top hitters for the season include Manny Machado, who leads the team with 29 home runs and 104 RBI, and Jackson Merrill, who is hitting .292. In terms of recent performances, Fernando Tatis Jr. has struggled, going 5 for 22 in his last 5 games, while Jackson Merrill has been hot, hitting .412 over the same span. Jurickson Profar is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Los Angeles is hosting the Padres today, and they are two games up on San Diego in the NL West. So far, the Dodgers are 26-21 in divisional games. The Dodgers come in with an overall record of 93-64, and they are 50-29 at home this season.
This year, the Dodgers have been the favorite in most of their games, going 88-52 in those matchups. As the underdog, Los Angeles is just 5-12 this season. The Dodgers have an overall series record of 30-16-4 and have won two straight series.
Heading into today’s game, the Dodgers are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
When the Los Angeles Dodgers play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 14 of their 23 games with that line. The Dodgers and their opponents have combined to average 9.4 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 87-66. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, and 83.4% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Dodgers Gambling
When betting the run line with the Dodgers, it’s been a coin flip this season, as they are 78-79. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 39-40, compared to 39-39 on the road. They have been favored in 140 of their games, going 71-69 in those contests. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game.
Dodgers Stats
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been an offensive powerhouse this season, ranking near the top in several key offensive categories. Their 5.1 runs per game is 2nd in the league, and their .256 team batting average is 5th. Their .444 slugging percentage and .777 OPS are both tops in the league. Shohei Ohtani has been on fire lately, hitting .714 over his last 5 games with 5 home runs and 13 RBIs. He’s currently on a 7-game hitting streak. Teoscar Hernández has also been a key contributor, hitting .269 on the season with 31 home runs and 93 RBIs.
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Padres Dodgers Pitching
Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, as he has won each of his last two outings. Most recently, he faced the Astros and didn’t give up a run in 8 1/3 innings of work. Cease finished with 10 strikeouts in that outing. For the season, he has a record of 14-11 and an ERA of 3.42. Cease has made 32 starts, and opponents are batting .194 this year. Cease has one complete game shutout and 16 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Cease is averaging 10.74 strikeouts.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Marlins and picked up the win. In that start, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back further, Flaherty has been a bit up and down, as he has a loss, win, and no-decision in his last three outings. The right-hander has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 13-7 to go along with a 3.10 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .216 off Flaherty this year. So far, he has made 15 quality starts and is averaging 10.83 strikeouts per nine innings.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Dodgers are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Dodgers have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 3-0 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Dodgers have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Dodgers game is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win over the Padres. Given that they are at -142 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with five strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. However, Flaherty is 20th in terms of projected strikeout totals compared to Cease at eighth.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s Día de Los Dodgers presented by Hornitos at Dodger Stadium! pic.twitter.com/PZCzDV8TYQ
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) September 25, 2024
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