Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Dodgers Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Dodgers on Saturday, October 5th, 2024 at Dodger Stadium, in Los Angeles, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Dodgers free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 NLDS Series Preview
(93-69) San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64)
Date: Saturday, October 5th
Time: 8:38 ET
Venue: Dodger Stadium Los Angeles, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres +118 | Dodgers -137 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres +1.5 | Dodgers -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Padres vs. Dodgers Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Los Angeles, as the Dodgers host the Padres in a critical NL West matchup. First pitch is set for 8:38 PM ET, and you can catch the action on FS1. The Dodgers are slight favorites in this one, with a money line of -137 compared to the Padres at +118.
On the mound, it’s Dylan Cease for the Padres against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -116 compared to the under at -104.
San Diego Padres
San Diego heads into their NL Divisional Round series vs. the Dodgers having gone 93-69 this season, which has them five games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres closed out the season with a 2-0 series win over the Braves. Overall, they are 27-25 against other teams in the NL West.
As the road team today, the Padres have gone 48-33 this season compared to 45-36 at home. San Diego has been good as the favorite this year, going 62-43 and 33-26 as the underdog. The Padres have been really good in series this year, going 31-15-6 and have won five straight series.
The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Braves in the top of the first, the Padres responded with five runs of their own. San Diego was the -119 favorite at home going into the game.
Joe Musgrove got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one hit and struck out four Braves batters. However, Musgrove did run into some trouble in the3rd inning, giving up a run and issuing two walks. The Padres also had to use four relievers to close things out, and Robert Suarez picked up the save.
Padres Gambling
The Padres and Dodgers kick off their NL Divisional Round series with a low over/under line of 7.5 runs. The two teams have combined for an average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 83-77. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 24-26. Overall, 58.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
The Padres have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 85-79 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 51-30. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -3.5 in losing games.
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Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .263. They are scoring 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 8th in the league. Their slugging percentage of .420 is also the best in the league. Manny Machado has been the team’s best hitter this season, with a .275 batting average, 29 home runs, and 105 RBIs. Luis Arraez has been hot at the plate, hitting .412 over his last 4 games, and Kyle Higashioka is on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles will host the Padres today as they kick off their NL Divisional Round series. The Dodgers are riding a five-game winning streak, and they closed out the regular season with a record of 98-64. Los Angeles won the NL West by five games over the Padres this year.
So far, the Dodgers have gone 31-21 in divisional games. They have been really good at home, going 52-29, and they have been solid on the road, posting a record of 46-35. As the favorite, the Dodgers are 92-52 this year, and they are 6-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles won their most recent series, taking all three games vs. the Rockies.
The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Chris Taylor in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, a 2-1 win. Taylor went only one for two, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in both of the Dodgers’s runs. Los Angeles’s other run came in the 8th inning, as they closed things out with a 2-1 win. Going into the game, the Dodgers were the heavy favorite at -154.
Anthony Banda got the start for the Dodgers, going only one inning. He was pulled early, as the Dodgers wanted to get Evan Phillips some work out of the bullpen. Phillips picked up the win and Edgardo Henriquez got the save.
Dodgers Gambling
With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Dodgers and Padres have the lowest total of any game in the playoffs so far. The over/under record for the Dodgers this season is 90-68, and the combined run average in their games is 9.4 runs per game.
Los Angeles has been a .500 team against the run line this season, going 81-81. They have been slightly better at home, going 40-41. Their average run margin for the season is +1.0, and they have been favored in 144 of their 152 games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.
Dodgers Stats
The Los Angeles Dodgers have been an offensive powerhouse this season, ranking 2nd in runs per game overall and 1st on the road. Their offense is led by a lineup that ranks 3rd in batting average and 1st in slugging percentage and OPS. Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear recently, hitting .628 over his last 10 games with 6 home runs and 20 RBIs. Teoscar Hernández has also been swinging a hot bat, with a 3-game hitting streak. The Dodgers have been getting contributions up and down the lineup, with Chris Taylor, Teoscar Hernández, Gavin Lux, and Shohei Ohtani all currently on hitting streaks.
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Padres Dodgers Pitching
Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. He has made 33 starts this season and has a record of 14-11. Cease’s ERA is 3.47, and he has a WHIP of 1.07. Cease has turned in 16 quality starts this year and has a shutout to his name. In his most recent outing, Cease finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Cease has allowed a total of 18 home runs this season.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Yamamoto has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .228 this season. In his 18 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto’s last outing came on September 28th vs. the Rockies, where he got the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Dodgers are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Dodgers have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Dodgers have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 3-0 in their last three games.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers 4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Padres +1.5
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -137. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 6-5, meaning there is some value in taking them on the money line and not on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto finishing with five strikeouts, which is actually lower than Dylan Cease, who we have finishing with six.
However, we have Yamamoto finishing with a better ERA and getting the win, which is why we would recommend taking him in a player prop bet to finish with more strikeouts.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Official workout complete. #NLDS pic.twitter.com/o8fiHuhXVB
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 5, 2024
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