Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Guardians at Progressive Field, Cleveland Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Guardians free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(15-8-0) San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (10-12-0)
Date: Tuesday, May 3rd
Time: 06:10 ETPM ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland
Projected Pitchers: Mike Clevinger vs. Zach Plesac
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres OFF Guardians OFF
MLB run line Betting Odds: Padres +1.5, Guardians -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: OFF
San Diego Padres
Heading into their matchup with the Cleveland Guardians, the Padres are off to a strong start, putting together a record of 15-8-0, good for 1st in the NL West division. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 9-4. The Padres are hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 5-2 win over the Pittsburgh. So far, San Diego has won 4 out of their first 7 series, 4-2-1.
Heading into this matchup, the San Diego Padres will be sending Mike Clevinger to the mound, making his first start of the season. Cleveland hopes Clevinger can get off to a good start as their bullpen is among the MLB’s worst groups. Combined, San Diego’s bullpen staff has one of the league’s worst ERAs at (4.12). A key reason for this group’s struggles is their inability to come through with runners on base, posting a LOB% of just 68.2%.
San Diego has started the year with a hot offense, averaging 4.74 runs per game, good for 5th in the MLB. So far, the Padres have successfully been able to drive in runs, despite ranking 16th in team batting average (0.234). Not only is San Diego’s offense struggling to generate hits, they are also in the bottom half of the league in home runs hit, averaging just 0.91 deep shots per game. (14th).
Cleveland Guardians
The Cleveland Guardians will look to pick up a win against San Diego in hopes of improving on the below .500 record of 10-12-0. This mark places the team 2nd in the AL Central division. Heading into the game, Cleveland will be looking to move above .500 when playing at Progressive Field, as they are 3-3 at home. The Guardians are looking to keep things rolling as they are coming off a 7-3 win over the Oakland. Cleveland will look for their 4th series win of the season, as they are 3-3-1.
For Cleveland, Zach Plesac comes into this game making his 5th start of the season, having picked up just 1 win, on an overall 1-2. On average, Plesac is going 5.28 innings per outing and will look to lower an ERA sitting at 3.8. So far, opponents are batting 0.282 against him. So far, his FIP rating of 4.35, is a confirmation of Plesac’s overall struggles on the mound. A major reason for Zach Plesac’s high FIP is his tendency to give up the long ball, averaging 1.27 homers per 9 innings pitched, including a home run to fly ball ratio of 10.7.
Cleveland enters this game with the 10th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.59 runs per contest. Through 22, the Guardians have put together a batting average of 0.251, good for 4th in the league. So far, the team’s strong batting average has not translated to strong power numbers, as Cleveland is averaging 0.91 home runs per contest (15th). Although the team is below the league average in home run frequency, averaging just 37.40 long balls per at-bat, they still have a combined slugging percentage of 0.405, good for (6th) in the MLB.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Guardians are 5-11 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Prediction:
For the season, San Diego’s offense has been tough on right-handed pitching, ranking 9th in runs scored. The Padres have been able to plate runs at an above-average rate vs righties, despite combining for a batting average of just 0.23, placing them 19th in the league.
Against right-handed pitching, Cleveland is ranked 1st, averaging 0.15 runs per at-bat. This strong scoring output also comes on a batting average of 0.278, the best in the league.
Look for Cleveland to pick up the win over San Diego.
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