Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Guardians on Saturday, July 20th, 2024 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Padres Guardians free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians
(50-50) San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (59-37)
Date: Saturday, July 20th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease vs. Gavin Williams
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres -110 | Guardians -108 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Padres -1.5 | Guardians +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Padres vs. Guardians Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Cleveland, Ohio, with clear skies and a temperature of 75 degrees at Progressive Field. The Padres are in town to take on the Guardians in an interleague matchup, with first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET.
On the mound for the Padres is Dylan Cease, while the Guardians will counter with Gavin Williams. The Guardians come into this one as slight underdogs, with a money line payout of -108 compared to the Padres at -110. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -121 compared to the under at -101.
Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Padres, they had their best chance to score in the 5th, but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -163 on the money line.
Tanner Bibee pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out three without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Matt Waldron had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss.
Offensively, the Guardians were led by a huge game from David Fry, who went 3/3 with two runs scored and an RBI. Jose Ramirez also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. As for the Padres, Luis Arraez and Jake Cronenworth each had two hits.
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At 50-50, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by eight games. The team is on a two-game losing streak, and they have dropped three of their last four games. San Diego’s struggles have been particularly evident in their division, where they are just 15-17 this year.
San Diego has dropped three straight series, and their overall series record is 17-13-3. As the road favorite, the Padres are 8-9 this year, and they are 24-22 on the road overall. At home, the Padres are 26-28 this year.
San Diego Padres games have gone over the total in 53 of their 99 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 7.5 runs, and the Padres have played 33 games with a lower line, going over the total in 16 of them.
Padres Gambling
When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.6 runs per game. They are .500 on the run line this season, but they have been a much better bet on the run line on the road, going 31-15. They are 19-35 on the run line at home and 22-36 as the favorite.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. Their batting average of .260 is 2nd in the league, and they are striking out the least amount of any team in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Jurickson Profar, who is hitting .301 with 14 home runs and 59 RBI, and Fernando Tatis Jr., who is hitting .279 with 14 home runs and 36 RBI. Profar has been struggling a bit recently, hitting .205 over his last 10 games, while Luis Arraez has been hot, hitting .324 over his last 9 games. Donovan Solano is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Cleveland is hosting the Padres today with an overall record of 59-37, which has them leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. So far, they have gone 15-13 in divisional matchups. The Guardians won the first game of this series vs. the Padres and have been 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Guardians have gone 31-11 this season, and they are just above .500 at 28-26 on the road. This year, they have been really good in day games, going 26-11. As the home underdog, the Guardians are 3-1 this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 16-17. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting together a mark of 43-20.
The Cleveland Guardians have seen their games go over the total in 47 of their 90 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the O/U line is set at 7.5, the over has gone 15-13 in their games this season. The under has hit in each of their last four games.
Guardians Gambling
When betting the run line, the Cleveland Guardians have been a solid play this season, going 49-47. They have been even better at home, going 22-20. The Guardians have been favored in 63 games and have gone 29-34 in those contests. As an underdog, they have gone 20-13. The Guardians have an average run margin of 1.0 this season, and they have been outscored by an average of 3.0 runs in their losses.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, where they average 5.2 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been the top hitters for the Guardians this season. Ramírez is hitting .273 with 23 home runs and 79 RBI, while Naylor is hitting .243 with 22 home runs and 70 RBI. Angel Martínez has been on a 3-game hitting streak and has hit 2 home runs in his last 8 games.
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Padres Guardians Pitching
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that July 13th start vs. the Braves, Cease went six innings and gave up just one hit. He finished the outing with 11 strikeouts. Cease has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-8. His ERA is 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.08. Cease’s batting average allowed is .206, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. For the year, Cease has a total of 149 strikeouts, and his ERA on the road is 5.99 compared to 3.46 at home.
Gavin Williams is set to make his third start of the season for the Guardians, and it will be his first home start of the year. He has gone 5 innings in each of his first two starts, giving up 1 earned run in his first outing against the Rays and then 5 earned runs in his last start vs. the White Sox.
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Padres head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Padres they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Guardians are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Guardians have a 2-8 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Padres are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Guardians have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Padres vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout sitting at -108. We have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 9-5, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line, which is currently at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. However, Williams is projected to finish with a better ERA than Cease, and we have him picking up the win.
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