Free MLB Pick: Padres vs Cubs Odds
Looking for San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs free plays? MLB betting sees the Padres taking on the Cubs on Wednesday, May 11th at Wrigley Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
13-20 (5-9 V) San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs 25-6 (12-3 H)
Doubleheader: Game 1
Date: Wednesday, May 11, 2016
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois
Projected Pitchers: Colin Rea vs. Kyle Hendricks
MLB Moneyline Odds: Cubs -210
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Off
MLB Betting Total: Off
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The Cubs are off to a great start and with every win seem to be lapping the competition.
Even though the Padres are nowhere near that, they are far from out of the race in the NL West thanks to the mediocrity of that group.
In this particular matchup it is hard to imagine the Padres putting up a great challenge to the Cubbies.
San Diego Padres
The Padres should probably be out of the race the way they have been playing but when you look closer they are playing a lot of close game, their record on the run line is good.
They are going through a tough stretch of the schedule with the Mets and the Cubs back to back. They are going to have to pitch and hit if they are going to be respectable.
Colin Rea is getting his first real go as a starter this season.
So far the six starts he has made this season are better than last year’s go in most categories.
Rea may look big on the mound but he is not that imposing when it comes to his stuff.
San Diego needs to tighten thing up in the bullpen – they have the third worst ERA. This team simply does not score enough to squander games late.
As this is being written the Cubs already have an eight game lead in the NL Central.
They are tops in runs and tops in ERA and beating opponents by a record margin. The cool thing is that nobody is going out of their mind at the plate either.
Sure Dexter Fowler is probably not going to be batting .340 when the season ends but it is not like he is hitting .500.
They could even be better once Jason Heyward finds his stroke. I am not his biggest fan but he is more than a .212 hitter.
Kyle Hendricks is the fifth starter. His record is just 2-2 which, means he has a third of their losses so far, but his numbers have been good – WHIP under 1 and an excellent K/BB rate.
It is probably not reasonable to expect that he will dominate all season long but he has built on a solid first year in the Majors last year.
The Cubs do not have the best bullpen.
It has been very good but you can make the argument that the best way to beat this club is to wait out the starters and get after this group.
It is not as easy to employ strategy though and doesn’t really work well if you are down 6-2.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Under is 9-2 in SD last 11 road games.
- SD are 2-7 in their last 9 road games.
- Under is 7-3 in SD last 10 overall.
- Over is 11-3-2 in CHC last 16 overall.
- Over is 11-3-2 in CHC last 16 on grass.
- CHC are 43-15 in their last 58 overall.
Free San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Prediction:
Betting against the Cubs has been a quick way to lose a buck this season. San Diego has not delivered much value overall unless you are a runline wagerer which is probably the only way you would want to back them in this series.
Colin Rea is alright but you work for your money and you want to give it a shot to work for you.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Chicago ML
Backing Chicago has you in the black this season and getting them at a decent value is always a smart play. This is one of those times with Hendricks on the mound. There is nothing scary about the Padres.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Chicago 6 – San Diego 2
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