Free MLB Pick: Padres vs. Braves Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(20-12-0) San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves (15-17-0)
Date: Friday, May 13th
Time: 07:20 ETPM ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta
Projected Pitchers: Yu Darvish vs. Max Fried
MLB Moneyline Odds: Padres 120 Braves -143
MLB run line Betting Odds: Padres +1.5, Braves -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.0
San Diego Padres
At 20-12-0, the San Diego Padres travel to take on the Atlanta ranked 2nd in the NL West division. So far, San Diego has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 10-5. The Padres are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Chi Cubs by a score of 7-5. For the year, San Diego has played a total of 10 series, going 5-3-2.
For San Diego, Yu Darvish gets the start, currently holding a record of 3-1. Against the Padres, Darvish is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 4.05. Currently, opponents are batting just 0.21 against the right-hander. Through 33.1 innings of work, Darvish has a per 9 home runs allowed figure of 0.82. Placing him near the league average.
San Diego enters play averaging 4.28 runs per game, placing them 11th in the MLB. So far, the team ranks 16th in runs scored in their game’s final two innings. The Padres’ combined batting average currently sits at 0.227, placing them 21st in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 7.38 hits. In terms of home runs, San Diego ranks 19th, averaging 0.88 home runs per contest.
Atlanta Braves
Heading into today’s game against San Diego, the Braves have a record of just 15-17-0. This places the team 2nd in the NL East division. Heading into play, the Braves have won half of their 18 home games, sitting at 9-9. Atlanta will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Red Sox by a score of 5-3. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 2-4-4.
For Atlanta, Max Fried gets the start, currently holding a record of 4-2. Through 6 outings, Fried has an ERA sitting at 2.68. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just 0.212 against him. Through 37.0 innings of work, Fried has a per 9 home runs allowed figure of 0.73. Placing him near the league average..
Atlanta’s offense enters play with the 16th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.09 runs per game. The team’s offense has performed well late in games, ranking 0.88 in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Together, the Braves offense has the 22nd ranked batting average, at 0.225. On average, the team is coming up with 7.34 hits per game. The team’s lineup is hitting for power at an above average rate, averaging 1.22 home runs per game (4th).
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Braves are 15-7 in their last 22 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction:
This season, San Diego’s offense has taken advantage of facing left-handed pitchers, ranking 8th in runs per at bat. So far, the team batting average vs lefties is 15th in the league (0.227). San Diego has found their power stroke with lefties on the mound, posting a slugging percentage of (0.395), ranking 7th.
This season, Atlanta’s offense has been mediocre against right-handed pitching, ranking 22nd in runs per at bat. Thus far, the Braves is struggling to generate hits vs righties, with a batting average of just 0.226 (22nd). Atlanta’s current slugging percentage of (0.395) ranks 7th in the league.
In a matchup of two strong starting pitchers, I recommend taking the under.
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