
Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Padres Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Padres on Monday, August 12th, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres
(56-61) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres (66-53)
Date: Monday, August 12th
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Joe Musgrove
MLB Moneyline Odds: Pirates +136 | Padres -162 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Pirates +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Pirates vs. Padres Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET, the Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The weather forecast for the game is 78 degrees with a clear sky. The Padres are the favorites to win this NL matchup, with a money line payout of -162 compared to the Pirates’ +136.
On the mound for the Pirates is Marco Gonzales, while the Padres will be countering with Joe Musgrove. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -106.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is on the road today to take on the Padres, and they are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak, which is the longest active losing streak in the NL Central. Currently, they are 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, and they are 56-61 overall. The Pirates dropped all three games of their series vs. the Dodgers.
So far, the Pirates are 17-15 against other teams in the NL Central. At home, they are 27-31 compared to 29-30 on the road. As the underdog, the Pirates are 32-40 this year, and they are 24-21 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 16-17-5, and they have dropped three straight series.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Dodgers, the Pirates closed out the series with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Dodgers scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Pittsburgh was the +221 underdog going into this road game.
Andrew McCutchen had a big game for the Pirates, going 2/5 with two homers and four RBIs. However, the Pirates couldn’t close things out, and David Bednar took the loss out of the bullpen. The Pirates also wasted a good start from Bailey Falter, who went four innings and gave up just two runs on seven hits.
Pirates Gambling
The Pirates are on the road against the Padres today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-60. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-14. Overall, 51.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.
The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line overall this season, going 66-51. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 36-23 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 49-23 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in their wins is +3.2, while it drops to -3.3 in their losses.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to generate offense this season, ranking 21st in runs per game with 4.2. Their home and road splits are not much different, as they average 4.1 runs per game at home (25th) and 4.4 on the road (16th). Their batting average of .235 is 21st in the league, and they are 21st in total home runs with 117. However, Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates, as he is hitting .287 on the season and leads the team in both home runs (19) and RBIs (69). In terms of recent performances, Andrew McCutchen has been hot, hitting .375 with 3 home runs in his last 5 games.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is 66-53 overall, which has them 3rd in the NL West. They are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead and are 19-18 in divisional games this year. The Padres are at home today, where they are 30-29 this year. They have been really good on the road, going 36-24.
As the favorite, the Padres are 40-31 this year and 26-22 as the underdog. San Diego has won two straight games at home, and they are 7-2 in their last nine home games overall. The Padres’ overall series record is 24-13-3, and they have won seven straight series on the road.
San Diego is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 7-6 loss to the Marlins, Donovan Solano went 1/1 with a homer and two RBIs, and Luis Arraez was 3/4 with a run scored. The Padres also had a big game from thejsonce Xander Bogaerts, going 2/4 with a double and two RBIs.
Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up six hits and issuing two walks. Cease was charged with two earned runs and took the loss.
Padres Gambling
San Diego has been a solid over team this season, with a 64-54 over/under record. The Padres’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Padres have gone 9-10-1 to the over. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in two straight games for San Diego.
The Padres have been a solid run line team this season, going 62-57 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 40-20 against the run line. However, they have struggled at home, going just 22-37 against the run line. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 33-15 against the run line in those games.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .266. They are scoring an average of 4.8 runs per game, with their road offense being particularly strong at 5.1 runs per game. Their slugging percentage of .418 is 8th best in the league. Jurickson Profar has been one of their top hitters, with a .297 batting average and 19 home runs on the season. Manny Machado has also been a key contributor with 18 home runs and 68 RBI. Jackson Merrill has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .393 over his last 8 games.
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Pirates Padres Pitching
Marco Gonzales will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work vs. the Padres. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Gonzales finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, he has made two straight starts without giving up a home run. Gonzales’ ERA for the season is 4.54, along with a record of 1-1. Opponents are batting .309 off the left-hander this season. Overall, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 6.15 strikeouts per nine innings.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and will be facing his former team, the Pirates. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.66. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.48. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 8.03 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, he is 2-3 with a 6.08 ERA compared to 1-1 with an 8.12 ERA on the road.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Pirates head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Pirates they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 8-2 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Pirates are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our recommendation for today’s Pirates vs. Padres matchup is to take the under, with the line sitting at 8 runs. We have the Padres winning this one 3-2, which gives us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to have a strong outing, with our predictions having him finishing with six strikeouts. As for Marco Gonzales, we have him finishing with just three K’s and would look for him to have a tough time against the Padres lineup.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Donnie Barrels 🔥 pic.twitter.com/2xwzKScX5j
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) August 11, 2024
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