Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs Phillies Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Phillies on Thursday, April 19, 2018 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Phillies free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(11-6) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies (10-6)
Date: Thursday, April 19, 2018
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia Pennsylvania
Projected Pitchers: Jameson Taillon vs. Jake Arrieta
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -106 | Pirates -104
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 (+185)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 7.5
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Taillon followed up his scoreless complete game by going another six scoreless-innings against the Miami Marlins only giving up four hits while striking out two and walking three. We’d just be nitpicking if we brought up the three walks.
No Gerrit Cole, no problem. Taillon is the new ace in Pittsburgh now posting a sparkling 0.89 ERA and 2.80 FIP. His 7.97 K/9 and 2.21 BB/9 are right around their career averages, while he has continued doing a solid job keeping the ball in the park with a .44 HR/9. His .160 BABIP is lucky, but don’t expect too much regression when that number begins to average out.
After a hot start to the season, Pittsburgh’s bats have cooled off only slashing .217/.286/.381 in the last week while hitting 18 extra-base hits and 23 RBI.
Arrieta was able to collect his first win of the season against the Tampa Bay Rays going 6.2 innings giving up two earned off of seven hits while striking out only one and walking two. He can thank his defense for that win as even though he only struck out one, he was able to induce 19 ground balls.
His strikeouts (5.06 K/9) are down this year from his career average of (8.27 K/9), while his GB% of 67.7% is up from his career average of 48.3%. Less strike outs and more ground balls is not the way to go as ground ball hits can turn into base hits, and if you can’t induce the strikeouts, your gonna have a hard time stranding base runners.
Philadelphia’s bats are starting to cool off slashing .226/.333/.349 and hitting 16 extra-base hits and 31 RBI in the last week.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- PIT are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.
- PIT are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
- PIT are 13-6 in their last 19 overall.
- Under is 20-6-2 in PIT last 28 Thu. games.
- PHI are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- PHI are 3-8 in their last 11 Thu. games.
Free Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction: Pittsburgh holds off Philadelphia
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: First 5 Innings Under 4
With both these lineups starting to cool off, these pitchers may not have as hard of a time against them. Both teams bullpens have been sub-par, so roll with the first five innings under before they have a chance to get involved.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Pirates 5 – Phillies 3
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