Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs Tigers Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Tigers on Thursday, March 29, 2018 at Comerica Park in Detroit Michigan. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Tigers free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(0-0) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers (0-0)
Date: Thursday, March 29, 2018
Time: 1:10 PM ET
Venue: Comerica Park, Detroit Michigan
Projected Pitchers: Ivan Nova vs. Jordan Zimmermann
MLB Moneyline Odds: Pirates -119
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Pirates -1.5 (+135)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 9.5
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The Detroit Tigers will play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates on opening day as inter-league play kicks off right away. Detroit will be throwing out veteran Jordan Zimmermann to oppose Pittsburgh’s number two ace. Pittsburgh opened up as (-115) moneyline favorites and have since slight risen to (-119) moneyline favorites with about 45% of the public backing them.
Nova was one of the best pitchers in the MLB last year for the first half of the season, but began to regress in the second half. He posted a 4.14 ERA, but had an FIP of 4.46 which was a tad off from his career FIP of 4.30.
(Usually, if a player has a higher FIP than ERA then that could be an indicator that the team’s overall defense has helped his production, while if the FIP is lower than their ERA then they have been pitching well, it’s just the teams’ defense hasn’t been as good.)
He isn’t a strikeout artist owning a career K/9 of 6.66, but has shown good command owning a career BB/9 of 2.54. Nova was a tad home run prone last year posting a 1.40 HR/9, which was off from his career HR/9 of 1.14, so expect that number to regress towards his mean this year.
Pittsburgh may have lost Andrew McCutchen, but this lineup is underrated and has the potential to be a good under-the-radar pick for bettors this year.
They will have speedster Starling Marte back into the action after being suspended for the majority of last season for PED use. It will also be interesting to see how Josh Bell performs after performing above expectations last year hitting 26 HRs and 90 RBIs.
Zimmermann was a complete letdown after signing a big 5 year $110 million contract where he posted a career-worst 6.08 ERA and a 5.18 FIP. His career averages are way better than his numbers from last year, and we can probably chalk up his really bad year to injuries and bad luck as he had a .330 BABIP.
He doesn’t induce many strikeouts with a career 7.10 K/9, but he also doesn’t give up walks with a career .97 BB/9. He is a fly ball pitcher that works to induce popups, but has been prone to giving up home runs with a career 1.63 HR/9.
Miguel Cabrera has been the talk of a bounce-back candidate this year, and I have no reason not to believe the 35 year old slugger will improve from last year’s debacle. The rest of the lineup has a lot of youth, but a lot of them are still unproven.
Last year, Detroit’s offense played well at home ranking 9th in runs and 3rd in hits. Hopefully they have been working on plate discipline as they ranked 18th in walks at home last year.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- PIT are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 18-6-2 in PIT last 26 Thu. games.
- Under is 22-7-1 in PIT last 30 road games.
- DET are 6-22 in their last 28 home games.
- DET are 12-39 in their last 51 games on grass.
- Over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.
Free Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Prediction: Pittsburgh grinds out small victory against Detroit
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Pittsburgh -119
I was fading Zimmermann all last season and I’m going to keep at it to start this season. Pittsburgh is an underrated squad that can carry some value early this season.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Pittsburgh 5 – Detroit 4
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