
Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Guardians on Friday, August 30th, 2024 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Guardians free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians
(62-71) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians (76-58)
Date: Friday, August 30th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Bailey Falter vs. Ben Lively
MLB Moneyline Odds: Pirates +142 | Guardians -169 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Pirates +1.5 | Guardians -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Pirates vs. Guardians Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Cleveland, as the Guardians host the Pirates in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM ET at Progressive Field, with the temperature expected to be around 88 degrees under a clear sky.
Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians, while Bailey Falter takes the mound for the Pirates. The Guardians are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -169 compared to the Pirates at +142. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the under currently paying out at -119 compared to -102 for the over.
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is on the road today to take on the Guardians, having dropped three straight games. The Pirates come into the day at 62-71, putting them 5th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Reds by 1.5 games for 4th place in the division and are 15 games out of the lead.
So far, the Pirates have gone 20-19 in divisional games this season. At home, they are 32-36 compared to 30-35 on the road. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is 35-47 this year, and they are 27-24 when favored. Their overall series record is 18-20-5, and they were swept by the Cubs in their most recent series.
The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 14-10 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a big lead early, scoring five times in the 2nd inning, but the Cubs stormed back with 14 runs, all of which came in the 6th and 9th innings.
Paul Skenes was handed the loss out of the bullpen, as the Pirates couldn’t close things out in the 9th. Bryan Reynolds had a big game at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Pirates also had three other players with three hits.
Pirates Gambling
The Pirates are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Pittsburgh’s games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 65-66. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Pirates have a record of 4-9-1. So far this season, only 5.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their over streak is currently at 3 games.
When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. They have a run line record of 74-59, including a 40-25 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 55-27 against the run line as an underdog.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has struggled this season, ranking below average in most offensive categories. They are 21st in runs per game at 4.2 and 23rd in total home runs with 132. Their top hitter this season has been Bryan Reynolds, who is batting .282 with 21 home runs and 74 RBI. In his last 8 games, Reynolds has 11 hits and 7 runs scored. Oneil Cruz has been hot at the plate, hitting .419 over his last 8 games. Yasmani Grandal is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland is 76-58 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They lead the Royals by 1.5 games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Pirates, and they went 22-20 in divisional games. The Guardians will be hosting the Pirates today, and they are 41-24 at home this season.
The Guardians are 53-29 as the favorite this season but just 23-29 as the underdog. They have an overall series record of 24-14-5 this year. Cleveland’s most recent series was vs. the Royals, and they lost that series 3-1. Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are just 4-6 over their last 10.
Heading into their last game vs. the Royals, the Guardians closed out the series with a 7-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -156. It was a big 4th inning that turned things in their favor, as the Guardians scored four runs in the inning. The Royals could only score two runs in the top of the first and added another two in the 3rd.
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Tanner Bibee got the start for the Guardians, going five innings and giving up five earned runs on eight hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Bo Naylor had only one hit, but it was a home run, and the Guardians also had three other players with two hits.
Guardians Gambling
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Cleveland Guardians’ average over/under line of 8 runs per game. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 64-61. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Guardians have gone 8-11-2 on the over/under this season. Only 4.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with the majority of their games having lower lines.
When the Guardians win, they win by an average of 3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 66-68, and they have a run line record of 31-34 at home and 35-34 on the road. As the favorite, they are 36-46 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 30-22.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their batting average of .237 is 17th in the league, and their .309 OBP is 14th. They have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 4th in the league in that category. José Ramírez has been the team’s best hitter, with a .274 batting average, 33 home runs, and 104 RBI this season. In terms of recent performances, Jhonkensy Noel has been hot, hitting .353 with 7 runs and 5 RBI in his last 5 games. José Ramírez has also been solid, hitting .333 over his last 6 games.
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Pirates Guardians Pitching
Pittsburgh is sending Bailey Falter to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 6-7 and an ERA of 4.25. So far this year, he has made 22 starts, and opponents are batting .255 off the left-hander. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.26. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win and didn’t give up an earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. Falter has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 6.33 strikeouts per nine innings.
Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Rangers on August 24th, he went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has made 23 starts and has a record of 11-8. His ERA for the season is 3.62, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting .225 off Lively this season. Out of his 23 starts, he has nine quality starts and is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per nine innings.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Pirates head into the game having gone 1-9 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Pirates they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Guardians are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Guardians have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Pirates are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Guardians have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Looking at the money line, we do like the Guardians to pick up a win, but at -169, the payout isn’t great. Instead, we are recommending taking the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians.
Offensively, our projections have the Pirates finishing with nine hits compared to the Guardians with nine. However, the Guardians are projected to finish with more home runs, and they also have a higher team strikeout rate.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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