Free MLB Pick: Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Pirates taking on the Diamondbacks on Saturday, July 27th, 2024 at Chase Field, in Arizona, AZ. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Pirates Diamondbacks free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks
(52-51) Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (54-50)
Date: Saturday, July 27th
Time: 8:10 ET
Venue: Chase Field Phoenix, AZ
Projected Starting Pitchers: Marco Gonzales vs. Brandon Pfaadt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Pirates +137 | Diamondbacks -164 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Pirates +1.5 | Diamondbacks -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Gameday
At 8:10 PM ET, the Pittsburgh Pirates will be taking on the Arizona Diamondbacks in an NL matchup at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The Diamondbacks are currently favored in this one, with a money line of -164 compared to the Pirates’ +137.
Brandon Pfaadt will be on the mound for the Diamondbacks, while the Pirates will counter with Marco Gonzales. The over/under line for this game is currently set at 8.5 runs.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Pirates vs. Diamondbacks series. Pittsburgh went into the matchup as +145 underdogs and nearly pulled off the upset, but Arizona squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Pirates had a chance to tie or take the lead in the 9th inning, but Paul Sewald closed things out for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona got to Pirates starter Luis L. Ortiz, who gave up three earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. Zac Gallen put together a good outing for the Diamondbacks, getting the win after going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
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Joc Pederson hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also had a three-hit game for Arizona and scored a run.
Pittsburgh is 52-51 overall, and they trail the Brewers by seven games in the NL Central. Currently, they are 3rd in the division, just one game behind the Cardinals for the 2nd spot in the division. The Pirates are 17-15 in the division this year.
At home, the Pirates are an even 26-26 this season, and they are one game above .500 at 26-25 on the road. So far, they have been good in the favorite role, going 22-20, and they are 30-31 as the underdog. The Pirates have an overall series record of 15-13-5, and they have won four straight series.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been on the road and have been involved in high-scoring games this season. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 46-56. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 19 times and under 14 times. Overall, 18.4% of their games have had an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Pirates have been on a six-game under streak.
Pirates Gambling
When it comes to betting the run line on the Pittsburgh Pirates, it’s been a profitable venture this season. The Pirates are 57-46 against the run line, including a 31-20 mark on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four straight road games and are 42-19 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
Pirates Stats
When it comes to the Pittsburgh Pirates’ offense, they have struggled this season, ranking in the bottom third of the league in most offensive categories. Their runs per game, batting average, and OPS are all near the bottom of the league. However, Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates, leading the team in batting average and on-base percentage. He has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .433 over his last 8 games. Oneil Cruz is another player to watch, as he has been productive at the plate, hitting .270 over his last 9 games. Nick Gonzales is currently on an 8-game hitting streak for the Pirates.
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Arizona is currently 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 7.5 games. Overall, the Diamondbacks are 54-50 as they host the Pirates today. They have won three straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last ten games.
So far, the Diamondbacks have gone 19-14 in divisional games. Arizona has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 16-13-4 this year. As the home favorite, the Diamondbacks are 22-13 this year, and they are 27-24 at home overall.
The Diamondbacks have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 54-47, and the average line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 19 of their 33 games. Overall, 41 of their games have had lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.4% of their games.
Diamondbacks Gambling
Arizona has a run line record of 54-50 this season, with a run line record of 23-28 at home and 31-22 on the road. The Diamondbacks’ average run margin is +0.2 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 35-23 as the underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.1 runs per game, while it is -4.0 runs per game in losing games.
Diamondbacks Stats
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 3rd in the league in runs per game at 4.9. Their batting average of .253 is 5th in the league, and they rank 5th in OBP at .325. Ketel Marte has been on a tear lately, hitting .412 with 4 home runs and 13 RBI over his last 9 games. Christian Walker has also been a key contributor, leading the team with 23 home runs and 70 RBI on the season.
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Pirates Diamondbacks Pitching
Marco Gonzales will be making his third start of the season for the Pirates, and it will be his first road start of the year. He picked up a win in his first start of the season, going 5 innings and giving up just 1 run. In his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up 2 runs.
Through 20 starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 4-6 and an ERA of 3.74 for the Diamondbacks. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is coming off a strong outing in which he didn’t allow a run. In that July 21st start vs. the Cubs, Pfaadt went seven innings, giving up just one hit and issuing one walk. He finished the game with seven strikeouts. Pfaadt has a WHIP of 1.10 for the season and is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 14 home runs this year.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Pirates head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Pirates they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Diamondbacks are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Diamondbacks have a 8-2 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Pirates are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Diamondbacks have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 8-5, but with the payout for a Diamondbacks win being -164, we see more value in taking the over.
Looking at some potential player props, you could look to take a look at the starting pitcher strikeout markets. However, we don’t have either starter having a big day in terms of strikeouts, with Marco Gonzales finishing with four and Brandon Pfaadt with five.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Chris Distefano left the “tubberware” at home but brought the heat! pic.twitter.com/vzUxUgpCYW
— Chicago White Sox (@whitesox) July 27, 2024
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