Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs Nationals Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Nationals on Monday, August 30th, 2021 at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Nationals free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(66-64) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (55-74)
Date: Monday, August 30th
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington DC
Projected Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Josiah Gray
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -190 | Nationals +165
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 (-115)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8
The Phillies kick off a 9-game road trip as big favorites in a visit to the Nationals on Monday night. Philadelphia is trying to make up a 4.5 game deficit in the East, and have six straight against the two worst teams in the division in Washington and Miami.
The Nationals meanwhile are back home for the first time after a 9-game road swing. Washington has dropped 4 of their last 5 to the Marlins and Mets, and are just 3-7 over their last 10 home games.
The Phillies are huge -190 favorites as they come into Monday’s game after a sweep of the Diamondbacks over the weekend. That isn’t saying much as Arizona is the 2nd worst team in the league, big taking care of business is important this time of year.
Once again competition aside, Philadelphia’s offense looked good over the weekend scoring 7 runs in each of their wins. Bryce Harper continues to be a nuisance to opposing pitchers with a .538 OBP over the past week. The Phillies have also scored all those runs even while hitting only 7 HRs over the past week.
Zack Wheeler (10-9, 2.90 ERA) tries to get off the schneid when he takes the mound on Monday. Wheeler has taken the loss in three straight starts, while giving up 15 ER over that span (20.2 IP). Wheeler is also 1-3 with a 4.11 ERA vs. Washington this season.
Washington is just 2-6 over their last 8 games, and they’ve obviously checked out in a season in which they are 15 back in the NL East. That trend doesn’t look like it has a great chance of improving, as the Nationals were swept at home by the Phillies August 2nd to 5th.
The Nationals are just 5-10 vs. the Phillies this season, another big reason why Washington is a +165 underdog in the series opener. They have gone 2-3 against Philadelphia in five Wheeler starts though, including 11-8 and 5-4 losses on July 29th and August 3rd.
The Nationals do hit above .300 as a team vs. Wheeler, led by Gerardo Parra who is 12 for 23 (.522). Juan Soto and Ryan Zimmerman are also both hitting .294 against Wheeler and with a ton of sample size (68 total AB).
It’s looking like Josiah Gray (0-1, 3.75) may get some run support on Monday even though the run total is just 8.5. Gray makes his 6th start with the Phillies after coming over from L.A in the Max Scherzer trade, and has held opponents to 2 ER or less in four of those.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Phillies are 8-0 last 8 vs. NL East
- Phillies are 5-11 last 16 as a road favorite
- Phillies are 1-5 last 6 during game1 of a series
- Nationals are 15-36 last 51 overall
- Nationals are 2-7 last 9 home games
- Nationals are 8-22 last 30 following a win
- Nationals are 0-5 last 5 head to head meetings
Free Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction:
Philadelphia 100% needs this game more, as they are 4.5 back in the division and 4 off the pace of the 2nd wild card spot. That being said, there’s great value on the Nationals in this one. Wheeler has struggled as of late, and the Phillies are on the road for the 1st time after 9 at home.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Nationals +165
Gray going for Washington only makes this a better play.
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