Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs Nationals Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals free mlb predictions? MLB betting sees the Indians taking on the Yankees on Saturday, May 5, 2018 at Nationals Park in Washington D.C. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Nationals free pick.
2018 MLB Season
(17-13) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (16-16)
Date: Saturday, May 5, 2018
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington D.C.
Projected Pitchers: Vincent Velasquez vs. Tanner Roark
MLB Moneyline Odds: Nationals -133 | Phillies +125
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Nationals -1.5 (+160)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.5
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It was a rough one for Velasquez in his last outing against the Atlanta Braves as he was marked with his fourth loss of the season. Atlanta torched him for six runs in four innings while he struck out four and walked two.
His 10.20 K/9 and 2.70 BB/9 is a thing of beauty, but he has had some terrible luck with a .353 BABIP. This and slacking defense has affected his LOB% as it sits at just 59.5% and has inflated his ERA to 5.70, while his FIP sits at 3.99.
Philadelphia is in the midst of a slump as they have won just two of their last six contests in the past week. During that span their lineup is slashing .235/.325/.385 to go along with 16 extra-base hits and 19 RBI.
Roark pitched a gem in his last start putting in a quality start and picking up the win against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He went seven innings giving up two earned off of six hits while striking out four and walking two.
He has been a work horse for Washington as he has pitched in six-plus innings in five of his six starts and has managed to post a 3.55 ERA. The quality starts and the inning-eating has been nice, but with a lucky .206 BABIP and 15.0% HR/FB ratio, I don’t think he’ll be able to maintain a sub 4.00 ERA for the whole season.
Washington may be playing their best baseball of the season winning five of their last seven contests. Their lineup has been hitting the ball well, slashing .267/.336/.479 to go with 24 extra-base hits and 34 RBI in that span.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- PHI are 34-71 in their last 105 road games.
- PHI are 2-6 in Velasquezs last 8 road starts.
- PHI are 8-22 in Velasquezs last 30 starts.
- PHI are 18-37 in the last 55 meetings.
- Under is 7-3-1 in WAS last 11 Sat. games.
- Under is 8-2 in Roarks last 10 home starts.
Free Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction: Washington picks up win against division rival
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Nationals -133 & OVER 8.5 Runs
With Washington’s current form I expect them to get the victory against the always shaky Velasquez, even if Roark doesn’t show up with his A-game. I also expect this total to creep over the 8.5 run threshold.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Nationals 5 – Phillies 4
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