Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs Nationals Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals free plays? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Nationals on Friday, April 14, 2017 at Nationals Park in Washington DC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(3-6) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals (5-4)
Date: Friday, April 14, 2017
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington DC
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Stephen Strasburg
MLB Moneyline Odds: Philadelphia +100 | Washington +105
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Washington -1.5
MLB Betting Total: 8
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Aaron Nola is one of many high level pitching prospects that the Phillies have, some of which have graduated, others have not.
Nola is pitching in his third season for the big league team, never posting a full season of work. Last year was Nola’s high inning count with 111, while posting an ERA of 4.78.
Nola, like his Phillies prospect counterpart Vince Velasquez, figures to be a high strikeout guy. He struck out nearly 10 per nine last year and opened the 2017 season with seven strikeouts in six innings.
Nola’s problem last year and also in his first start this year, is a very high BABIP which is representative of a less than stellar defense.
Nola had a FIP last year of 3.08, which is far off of his ERA and in his first start this year was much of the same. He posted an ERA of 4.50 in his first start but his FIP represented a 1.65.
The potential is there, it’s a question of whether or not his supporting cast will help.
Stephen Strasburg continues to be one of the more reliable pitchers in the league over the course of his career. His worst single season outing was last year in which he posted a 3.60 ERA and struck out more than 11 batters per nine innings.
In addition, his walk rate is low as well as his homerun rate the question with Strasburg is and will continue to be his durability and reliability.
Only once has he gone over 200 innings in a season and hasn’t been over 150 innings since 2014.
He’s off to a good start in 2017 with a 3.21 ERA in 14 innings pitched. As long as he’s healthy, he’s one of the best in the game.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- PHI are 4-12 in their last 16 overall
- WAS are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss
- WAS are 23-11 in their last 34 games as a favorite
Free Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction:
Great pitching matchup for this game, a high level prospect whose surface numbers don’t match his success level versus one of the more consistently dominant pitchers in baseball. The Nationals can rake though and Nola is still green, the Nationals should have the upper hand in this matchup.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: UNDER 8
I like the pitching matchup for both teams and expect a low scoring game in which the first guy to blink first may take the loss. The Nationals are explosive, but so is Nola and imagine he’ll have a nice strikeout total when all is said and done. All that said, take the under.
MLB Free Score Prediction: Philadelphia 2 – Washington 4
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