Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Rays Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Rays on Tuesday, May 6th, 2024 at George M. Steinbrenner Field, in Tampa Bay, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Rays free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
(19-15) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays (16-18)
Date: Tuesday, May 6th
Time: 7:05 ET
Venue: George M. Steinbrenner Field Tampa, FL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Zack Wheeler vs. Drew Rasmussen
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -122 | Rays +104 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Rays +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Phillies vs. Rays Gameday
The Phillies and Rays are set to square off in an interleague matchup at 7:05 PM ET. This one is being played at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, and the Phillies are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 19-15, while the Rays have won two straight and they are 3rd in the AL East at 16-18.
Philadelphia is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8 runs. Drew Rasmussen will be on the mound for the Rays, while the Phillies are set to start Zack Wheeler.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-9 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a big lead early, scoring nine times in the 2nd inning, but the Diamondbacks stormed back with three runs in the 3rd and another four in the 4th to take the lead. Philadelphia was the -155 favorite at home going into the game.
Ranger Suarez had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on seven hits and issuing two walks. He only lasted json 3 2/3 innings, taking the loss. The Phillies’s offense was carried by Weston Wilson, who went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Philadelphia is 19-15 overall this season, putting them three games behind the Mets for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone just 7-8 in divisional matchups. The Phillies will be on the road today, and they are 6-9 on the road this year.
The Phillies have won two straight games on the road, and they have an overall series record of 7-3-1 this year. Their series win over the Diamondbacks helped them to an overall record of 6-4 in their last 10 games.
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Phillies Stats
So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .255 as a team, which is 7th in the MLB. Kyle Schwarber has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far, as his 11 home runs are 2nd in the league, and he is also 7th in the league with 26 RBIs.
Over his last five games, Schwarber has three home runs, but he is just 4/17 in that stretch. Trea Turner has gone 7/21 in his last five games and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Turner is batting .297 with a team-high 11 RBIs.
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Tampa Bay Rays
Heading into their last game vs. the Yankees, the Rays closed out the series with a 7-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +142 on the money line. It was a big 4th inning for the Rays, as they scored three runs in the inning, and added another three runs in the 7th to close things out. Tampa Bay’s offense was carried by Jonathan Aranda, who went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Taj Bradley got the start for the Rays, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only had one strikeout in the outing and gave up two runs on four hits. Pete Fairbanks closed things out in the 9th, picking up the save.
The Rays are 16-18 overall and trail the Yankees by 2.5 games in the AL East. Tampa Bay took two straight games to close out their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 4-6 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Rays are 9-13 and 7-5 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays have gone 16-18 this year, and they have yet to be favored in a game. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 6-5, and they have won three straight series on the road.
Rays Stats
For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is .312. Tampa Bay’s offense has been led by Jonathan Aranda and Brandon Lowe, who are tied for the team lead with 17 RBIs. Aranda is batting .316 for the season, and Lowe comes into the game with a batting average of just .203.
Over his last seven games, Brandon Lowe has gone 5/27, and Junior Caminero has also struggled of late, going 6/29 in his last seven games. Yandy Diaz has a batting average of .254 for the season and is 8/30 in his last eight games. Chandler Simpson has gone 9/31 in his last eight games for the Rays.
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Phillies Rays Pitching
Right-hander Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.48. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Wheeler has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. One of his two wins this year came at home, where he has an ERA of 2.19 compared to 4.73 on the road.
Drew Rasmussen gets the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 2.64. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work against the Royals. Rasmussen has given up a homer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .207 this season off the right-hander. In his six starts, Rasmussen has made four at home and two on the road. His ERA at home is 1.75, compared to 4.5 on the road.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Rays are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Rays have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Rays have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Phillies vs. Rays Prediction: Phillies ML -122
Given that the payout for a Phillies win is -122, this is the bet we recommend taking. We have the Phillies winning this one 5-1, and at +104, the payout for a Rays win isn’t quite high enough to take. I have more faith in Phili tonight.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Drew Rasmussen, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 19th among starters.
I’m leaning under for an O/U play, but don’t have a ton of confidence in the total.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Start spreading the news…
We’re headed home with a series dub!
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) May 4, 2025
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