Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mariners on Saturday, August 3rd, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners
(65-44) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners (58-53)
Date: Saturday, August 3rd
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Orion Kerkering vs. Bryce Miller
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies +109 | Mariners -129 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5 | Mariners -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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First pitch is set for 9:40 ET in Seattle, where the Mariners will host the Phillies in an interleague matchup. The Mariners are favored in this one, with a money line payout of -129 compared to +109 for the Phillies.
Orion Kerkering will take the mound for the Phillies, while Bryce Miller will get the start for the Mariners. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -108 compared to -114 for the under.
Seattle cruised to an easy 10-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -114.
Bryan Woo pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Phillips took the loss for the Phillies. Phillips went just 1 2/3 innings and gave up eight runs.
Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Victor Robles, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner also hit the game’s only home run. For the Phillies, Alec Bohm went 2/4 with an RBI.
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Philadelphia is on the road today for their matchup with the Mariners, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first game of this series vs. the Mariners. The Phillies are 65-44 overall, putting them five games ahead of the Braves in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 38-21 this season, and they are just above .500 at 27-23 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the underdog, the Phillies are 8-9 when not favored, and they are 57-35 as the favorite this year. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 19-13-5, and they have dropped five straight series.
Philadelphia’s over/under record is 50-54 this season, and the over has hit in four straight games. The Phillies have played 91 games this season, and 60 of them have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs. In the 31 games with higher lines, the over is 7-11. The average over/under line in Phillies games this season is 8 runs, and the combined run average in their games is 8.8 runs per game.
Phillies Gambling
Philadelphia is 53-56 on the run line this season, with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They are 25-25 on the run line on the road, with an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game. They have failed to cover the run line in their last two road games and are 8-9 on the run line as an underdog this season.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, especially at home where they lead the league in runs per game at 5.3. Their overall runs per game of 4.9 ranks 8th in the league. The Phillies are 4th in batting average at .255 and have a good OBP of .327. They have been getting on base and hitting for power, as their SLG of .419 and OPS of .746 both rank 8th in the league. Alec Bohm has been hot at the plate, hitting .345 over his last 8 games, while Kyle Schwarber has hit .333 with 3 home runs over the same span. J.T. Realmuto, Austin Hays, and Alec Bohm are all currently on hitting streaks.
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Seattle is 58-53 overall this season, and they are in 2nd place in the AL West. The Mariners are currently tied with the Astros for the division lead. Seattle leads the Phillies 1-0 in their series, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mariners are 32-23 this season, and they are just above .500 at 26-30 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 72 of their games, and they are 39-33 in those games. As the home favorite, the Mariners have gone 25-18 this year.
Seattle has played to the over in 11 of their 14 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 48-58. The Mariners have played to the under in 77.5% of their games this season.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle has been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 50-61 overall. They have been a better bet on the road, where they are 26-30, compared to at home, where they are 24-31. They have been a better bet as the underdog, where they are 21-18, compared to the favorite, where they are 29-43. Their average run differential this season is +0.3 runs per game.
Mariners Stats
The Seattle Mariners have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which ranks 28th in the league. Their offense has been particularly anemic at home, where they average just 3.5 runs per game, 29th in the league. Their batting average of .219 is 23rd in the league, and they strike out 10 times per game, which is 28th in the league. On a positive note, they rank 4th in walks. Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, and Cal Raleigh have been the team’s top hitters this season. In terms of recent performances, Jorge Polanco and Victor Robles have been swinging hot bats, with both players hitting over .300 in their last 6 games. Justin Turner and Dominic Canzone are currently on hitting streaks for the Mariners.
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Phillies Mariners Pitching
Right-hander Orion Kerkering is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 41 appearances this season and just one start. Kerkering’s record for the season is 2-2, and he has an ERA of 2.21. In his 40 2/3 innings of work, Kerkering has a WHIP of 1.06 and is averaging 9.96 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Kerkering took the loss out of the bullpen, giving up one earned run in one inning of work. Before that, he had three straight appearances where he didn’t give up an earned run.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.03, and opponents are batting .212 off him this year. In his last outing, Miller picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up an earned run. Miller has made 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 0-3 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
We love Bryce Miller. Last game out he pitched 6 1/3 innings against the White Sox on Sunday, allowing three runs on seven hits. He struck out six batters and did not issue any walks, he continually goes out and demonstrates solid control on the mound.
Our pick for today’s Mariners vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -129. We actually have the Mariners winning this one by a score of 4-1, so you could also look to take the UNDER, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryce Miller of the Mariners is projected to finish with five strikeouts. As for a win, he has the sixth-best odds of picking up a win. However, we have him going just 6.1 innings.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
NUKE. RALEY. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/VYGF5D5r2j
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 3, 2024
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