Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Pirates Odds
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2022 MLB Handicapping
(53-47-0) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (40-60-0)
Date: Sunday, July 31st
Time: 01:35 ETPM ET
Venue: PNC Park Pittsburgh
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. JT Brubaker
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -180 Pirates 148
MLB run line Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5, Pirates -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.0
Philadelphia Phillies
Heading into the game, the Philadelphia Phillies have an overall record of 53-47-0. When playing on the road, the team has gone 27-22. In the NL East division, Philadelphia currently sits 3rd. So far, the team has gone 52-48-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 65.0% of their games. The Phillies’ over-under record is 52-45-3.
For Philadelphia, Aaron Nola gets the start with an overall record of 6-8. This includes a strong ERA of 3.32. So far, he is lasting an average of 6.61 innings per outing, as well as 9.77 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 1.15 per 9. In total, Nola has given up 15 home runs.
Throughout the season, the Phillies have not had to turn to their bullpen for major innings. The team’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.87.
During the season, the Philadelphia Phillies have performed well on offense, averaging 4.66 runs per game. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of 51.0. The Phillies come into the game with a strong team batting average of 0.247. Philadelphia combined batting average on balls in play is just 0.23. Placing them 25th. On the base paths, the Phillies have put pressure on opposing pitchers, ranked 5th in the MLB in steals.
In the field, Philadelphia averages 0.54 errors per game, placing them near the league average. Throughout the season, the team has done a good job turning double plays, averaging 0.89 per contest.
Heading into the game, the Pittsburgh Pirates have an overall record of 40-60-0. When playing at home, the team has gone 21-27. In the NL Central division, Pittsburgh currently sits 4th So far, the team has gone 51-49-0 vs the runline, while being favored in 18.0% of their games. The Piratess’ over-under record is 40-53-7.
For Pittsburgh, JT Brubaker gets the start with an overall record of 2-8. He comes into the game with an elevated ERA of 3.96. So far, he is lasting an average of 5.26 innings per outing. as well as 9.09 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. In terms of walks, he allows an average of 3.78 per 9. In total, Brubaker has given up 10 home runs.
So far, the Pirates bullpen has been one of the most used groups in the league. This group has one of the highest ERA’s among MLB bullpens at 4.64.
Throughout the season, runs have been hard to come by for the Pittsburgh Pirates, as they are averaging just 3.60 per contest. The team comes into the game with an overall run differential of -147.0. The Pirates head into the game ranked just 29th in team batting average. On their balls in play, Pittsburgh has the 1st ranked BABIP of 0.329. With runners on base, the Pirates are averaging just 0.58 stolen bases per game.
Pittsburgh has been strong on defense, ranking 6th in fewest errors at 0.45 per game. The team’s defense is turning double plays below the league average, at just 0.58 per contest.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
- Pittsburgh is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction:
Heading into this game, the pitching matchup favors the Philadelphia Phillies. In addition to holding the edge in ERA, Aaron Nola he has the better WHIP of 0.92 compared to JT Brubaker at 1.43. I expect a strong performance from Aaron Nola, as the Pirates offense is ranked just 29th. Brubaker has a tough matchup against a Phillies offense ranked 11th in batting average.
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