Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mets on Saturday, September 21st, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Mets free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
(92-62) Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (85-69)
Date: Saturday, September 21st
Time: 4:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ranger Suárez vs. Sean Manaea
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -108 | Mets -109 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Phillies vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a big NL East matchup tonight at Citi Field in New York, as the Mets host the Phillies. The first pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on SNY. The pitching matchup features Ranger Suárez going for the Phillies against Sean Manaea for the Mets.
Oddsmakers have this one as a pick’em, with both teams coming in at -108 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under currently paying out at -119.
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 12-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their twelve runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -119.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, David Peterson got the start for the Mets and took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs.
Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs. Johan Rojas also had a two-hit game and scored twice while driving in two runs.
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With an overall record of 92-62, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-19 against other teams in the NL East. Philadelphia has won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 79-45 when favored this year. As the road favorite, the Phillies are 28-22 this year.
At home, the Phillies have been great, going 52-26 this year. On the road, they are just above .500 at 40-36. Heading into game three of their series vs. the Mets, the Phillies are 25-17-7 in series this year. Over the last 10 games, the Phillies are 6-4.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 72-74. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 14-16. Overall, 72.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Phillies Gambling
When the Phillies are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-36, which is a winning percentage of 52.6%. Their average run margin in road games is +0.5 runs per game.
They have covered the run line in their last two games as the favorite, and their run line record as the favorite is 59-65. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8 runs per game.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 4th in runs per game with 4.9. Their batting average of .259 is also 4th in the league, and their OBP of .327 ranks 3rd. The Phillies have been particularly good at home, where they average 5.0 runs per game. Their top hitters this season have been Kyle Schwarber, who leads the team with 35 home runs and 98 RBI, and Bryce Harper, who is hitting .287 with a .375 OBP.
Alec Bohm has also been a key contributor, hitting .290 with 94 RBI. Schwarber is currently on a 5-game hitting streak, while Trea Turner and Bryson Stott have hit safely in their last 6 and 5 games, respectively.
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The Mets are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they get set to host the Phillies today. New York is 85-69 overall and has a division record of 27-20. This season, they are 44-35 at home compared to 41-34 on the road.
At home, the Mets have gone 7-12 as the underdog this season, and their overall record as the underdog is 28-32. New York has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 57-37 when favored this year. The Mets’ overall series record is 27-15-8, and they are 6-4 across their last ten games.
The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 78-71, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 20-16. In total, 68.8% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last four games.
Mets Gambling
When betting the run line on the Mets, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 42-33 compared to 36-43 at home. They have an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game, and they are 78-76 overall on the run line. They have a better run line record as the underdog, going 35-25 compared to 43-51 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.8, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 5th in the league. Their home and road splits are very similar, with 4.7 runs per game at home and 4.9 on the road. They have hit 199 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their team batting average of .248 is 8th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .321 is 4th.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the top hitters for the Mets this season, with Alonso leading the team in home runs and RBI. Recently, Jose Iglesias has been on a 14-game hitting streak, and Pete Alonso has been hitting .321 over his last 7 games.
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Phillies Mets Pitching
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-7. Suárez’s ERA for the season is 3.13, along with a WHIP of 1.14. In his 25 starts, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts.
Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez’s ERA on the road is 2.99 compared to 3.83 at home.
Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 11-5 and ERA of 3.26. He has made 30 starts this season and has pitched well, with a batting average allowed of .194. Manaea has made 14 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings.
In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight outings. Manaea has not taken a loss since August 21st.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup is 3-1 in favor of the Mets. Given that you can get the Mets on the money line at -109, this is the bet that we would recommend going with.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Sean Manaea is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among all starters. As for Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is 19th among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
AIR SWAGGY@MarkVientos_5 | #LGM pic.twitter.com/4RT75GLIOj
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 20, 2024
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