Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 9/20/2024 Free Pick & MLB Betting Prediction




Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mets Odds

Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mets on Friday, September 20th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Mets free pick.

2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

(91-62) Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (85-68)
Date: Friday, September 20th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez vs. David Peterson
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -108 | Mets -109 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5 | Mets -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5

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Phillies vs. Mets Gameday

At 7:10 PM ET in New York, the Mets are set to host the Phillies at Citi Field. The Mets are slight favorites in this NL East matchup, with a money line payout of -109 compared to the Phillies’ -108. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under slightly favored at -119.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets, while the Phillies will counter with Cristopher Sánchez. The Mets are currently riding a four-game winning streak and are looking to close the gap on the Phillies in the NL East standings. The Phillies are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and maintain their hold on the top spot in the division.

New York cruised to a 10-6 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their six runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -137 on the money line.

Luis Severino pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Taijuan Walker had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss.

Brandon Nimmo and Mark Vientos each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/3 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Pete Alonso also had a two RBI game at the plate.

With an overall record of 91-62, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Mets. The Phillies have dropped two straight games, with the most recent loss coming in the first game of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 27-19 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies have been great this year, going 52-26. On the road, they are just above .500 at 39-36. As the underdog, the Phillies have an overall record of 13-17 this year, and they are 78-45 when favored.

Today, the Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The Phillies have played 111 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 72.5% of their games this season. Their over/under record for the season is 71-74, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game.

Phillies Gambling

Philadelphia has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 74-79 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 39-36. The Phillies have been a better bet at home, where they are 35-43. They have been a better bet as the favorite, going 58-65, compared to 16-14 as the underdog.

Phillies Stats

The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. Their batting average of .258 is 4th in the league, and their OBP of .326 is also 4th. They are 2nd in the league in runs per game at home with 5.0. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the team’s top hitters this season, with Harper hitting .288 with 29 home runs and 86 RBI, while Schwarber has 35 home runs and 98 RBI. Both players have been hot at the plate recently, with Harper hitting .324 over his last 10 games and Schwarber currently on a 4-game hitting streak.

The Mets are currently six games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they will host the Phillies today for the second game of their series. New York took the series opener, and they have won four straight games overall. So far this year, they are 27-19 against other teams in the NL East.

At 85-68 overall, the Mets have been good at home, going 44-34 compared to 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 57-37 this year, and they are 28-31 as the underdog. New York has won four straight at home, and their overall series record is 27-15-8.

With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Mets have gone over that total in 19 of their 35 games this season. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 77-71. The over has hit in each of their last three games.

Mets Gambling

When the Mets win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which has helped them to a run line record of 78-75 on the season. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 42-33, compared to 36-42 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 3-0 in that span as the favorite.

Mets Stats

The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 4th in runs per game at 4.8. Their home and road scoring numbers are nearly identical, with a slight edge to their road scoring. The Mets have hit 198 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .271 with 31 home runs and 86 RBI, while Alonso has a team-leading 34 home runs and 87 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Jose Iglesias has been on a tear, hitting .419 over his last 7 games. Pete Alonso has also been hot, hitting .393 over his last 7 games.

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Phillies Mets Pitching

Through 29 starts, Cristopher Sánchez has a record of 10-9 and an ERA of 3.24. This season, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 2.23. On the road, his ERA is 5.61, and he has a record of 3-6. Sánchez has turned in 17 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. In his last outing, he gave up one earned run in seven innings of work. Sánchez finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he hadn’t given up a homer in three straight starts.

David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.85. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .235 off the left-hander. Peterson has turned in 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 7.26 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Peterson finished with a no-decision, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. The Mets will be hoping for more of the same from Peterson today, as he has been much better at home, coming in with a 4-1 record and 3.02 ERA compared to 5-1 with a 3.13 ERA on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends

• The Phillies head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
• The Phillies they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
• Conversely, the Mets are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
• Furthermore, the Mets have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
• Also, the Phillies are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
• The Mets have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:

With the Phillies being the underdogs at -108, we see this as a great opportunity to take them on the money line. Our predicted score is 8-5 in favor of the Phillies, giving you a little wiggle room if you want to take them on the run line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts, which is 13th best among starters. As for Cristopher Sanchez, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is sixth best.

However, we have Sanchez finishing with a higher strikeout total, giving you another option for a prop bet.

Today’s MLB Free Pick

MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day

Hang 10 🤙 pic.twitter.com/3HuxzIOfsM

— New York Mets (@Mets) September 20, 2024

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About Kyle Knecht

New to Cappers Picks but not new to the world of online sports gambling. Kyle Knecht is a lifelong sports fan from Jacksonville, Florida that has a passion for sports and sports betting. He has coached and played college sports for 10 years so he has seen sports from the inside and knows how it operates. After he got out of coaching he picked up sports betting and has found a true niche with watching games and analyzing their outcomes. He is looking to share his expertise and knowledge with others to help turn a profit in the sports betting world.

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