Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mets on Wednesday, October 9th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Mets NLDS free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
2024 MLB Playoffs – NLDS
(95-67) Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (89-73)
Date: Wednesday, October 9th
Time: 5:08 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ranger Suárez vs. Jose Quintana
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -111 | Mets -106 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Phillies vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in New York, as the Mets host the Phillies in this NL East matchup. First pitch is set for 5:08 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on FS1. The weather forecast is calling for 66 degrees with broken clouds at Citi Field.
Ranger Suárez will be on the mound for the Phillies, while Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets. The Phillies come into this one as a slight favorite, with a money line payout of -111 compared to the Mets’ -106. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the under currently paying out at -118.
New York cruised to a 7-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their only two runs in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mets were the slight favorites at -103.
Sean Manaea pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Aaron Nola had a rough outing for the Phillies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four earned runs.
Pete Alonso and Jesse Winker each homered for the Mets, while Mark Vientos went 2/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Jose Iglesias also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
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Philadelphia leads the NL East by six games over the Mets heading into today’s game. The Phillies are 95-67 overall and have gone 29-23 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies dropped game one of this series vs. the Mets and are just 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Phillies have gone 54-27 this year, and they are just above .500 at 41-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 83-51 this year and 13-18 as the underdog. So far, they have gone 29-26 as the favorite on the road, and their overall series record is 26-18-8 this year.
With the Mets leading the series 2-1, the Phillies are facing elimination in Game 4 on the road. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below the teams’ combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. The over/under record for the season is 81-75, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs. The over has hit in eight straight games for the Phillies.
Phillies Gambling
Philadelphia is 78-87 against the run line this season, including a 41-41 mark on the road. The Phillies have an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game this season, and they have a run line record of 62-72 as the favorite.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game at 4.8. They have been particularly good at home, averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. Their batting average of .257 is 4th in the league, and their OBP of .325 and SLG of .425 both rank 5th. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the Phillies’ top hitters this season, with Harper hitting .285 and Schwarber leading the team with 38 home runs and 104 RBIs. Harper is currently on a 4-game hitting streak, while Castellanos has a 3-game hitting streak.
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The Mets are 2nd in the NL East, six games behind the Phillies. New York will look to pick up a win today, as they lead the series 2-1 and can move on with a win. So far this year, the Mets are 89-73 overall, and they have gone 30-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Mets are 46-35 this year, and they are 43-38 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, going 59-39, and they are 34-36 as the underdog. The Mets have won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 28-17-10.
The Mets lead the series 2-1 heading into Game 4, and if they win, they move on. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below the teams’ combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The over/under record for the season is 86-77, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 25-18. The over has hit in three straight games for the Mets.
Mets Gambling
The Mets are 39-43 against the run line at home this season, but they have covered in three straight games at Citi Field. The Mets are 87-81 against the run line overall, and they have an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game. They are 45-53 against the run line as the favorite and 42-28 as the underdog.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 7th in runs per game with 4.7. Their home and road splits are nearly identical, averaging 4.7 runs at home and 4.8 on the road. They have hit 207 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .273 with 33 home runs and 91 RBI, while Alonso has a .240 average with 34 homers and 88 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Mark Vientos has been hot, hitting .417 with 2 home runs and 7 RBI over his last 6 games. The Mets have a few players on hitting streaks, including Jose Iglesias, Mark Vientos, and Francisco Alvarez, who are all on 3-game streaks.
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Phillies Mets Pitching
Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.46 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Mets and three earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Brewers. Suárez has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Brewers on October 3rd, he went six innings, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Quintana’s record for the season is 10-10, and his ERA is 3.75. Opponents are batting .233 off the left-hander this season. For the year, he has made 31 starts, 12 of which were quality starts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Mets game is to take the Mets on the money line at -106. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 5-2. With the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs, we would take the under, as we see this game finishing with a combined seven runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jose Quintana finishing with four strikeouts, which is the second-lowest among all starters. As for Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is third among all starters.
Today’s NLDS – MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
So good to be home! #MetsWin #LGM pic.twitter.com/VikkrP77UF
— x – New York Mets (@Mets) October 9, 2024
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