Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Mets Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Mets on Tuesday, October 8th, 2024 at Citi Field, in New York, NY. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Mets NLDS free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets
NLDS – MLB Playoffs
(95-67) Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets (89-73)
Date: Tuesday, October 8th
Time: 5:08 ET
Venue: Citi Field New York, NY
Projected Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Sean Manaea
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -112 | Mets -106 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Mets +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7
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Phillies vs. Mets Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in New York, as the Mets host the Phillies in this NL East matchup. First pitch is set for 5:08 PM ET at Citi Field, with Aaron Nola on the mound for the Phillies and Sean Manaea getting the start for the Mets. The Phillies are looking to extend their lead in the division, while the Mets are hoping to close the gap.
Oddsmakers have this one as a tight matchup, with the Phillies coming in as a slight favorite on the money line at -112. The Mets are right behind them at -106, with the over/under line set at 7 runs. If you’re looking at the run line, the Phillies are +156 to cover -1.5 runs, while the Mets are -187 to cover +1.5 runs.
Philadelphia picked up a 7-6 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. New York had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th, but the Phillies held on for the win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -146 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and went just five innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision as Jeff Hoffman got the win out of the bullpen. Tylor Megill took the loss for the Mets, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, the Phillies were led by Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper, who each homered. Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs, while Harper scored twice and drove in two runs while going 1/3. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Philadelphia.
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Philadelphia and the Mets are tied 1-1 in their NL Divisional Round series, and the Phillies will be on the road for today’s game. Looking at their overall record, the Phillies went 95-67 this season, which was good enough for the top spot in the NL East.
The Phillies have gone 29-23 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they are just six games ahead of the Mets in the division. At home, the Phillies were really good this year, going 54-27. On the road, they were just above .500 at 41-40.
The Phillies and Mets are tied 1-1 in their NL Divisional Round series, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for games involving the Phillies this season is 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 80-75. The over has hit in seven straight games for the Phillies, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs.
Phillies Gambling
Philadelphia has a run line record of 78-86 this season, including a 41-40 mark on the road. They have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game. In their losses, they are being outscored by an average of -3.9 runs per game.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game with 4.8. Their home offense has been particularly potent, as they are 2nd in the league in runs per game at home with 5.0. The Phillies have a solid batting average of .257, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Harper is hitting .285 with 30 home runs and 87 RBI, while Schwarber has 38 home runs and 104 RBI. In terms of recent performances, Nick Castellanos has been on fire, hitting .480 over his last 8 games. Bryce Harper is also on a 3-game hitting streak.
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The Mets are tied 1-1 with the Phillies in their NL Divisional Round series and are six games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, the Mets went 89-73, and they were 30-22 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are on a two-game winning streak at home, and they finished the year 46-35 at home.
As for their overall record, the Mets were 5-5 in their last 10 games. They have an overall series record of 28-17-10 this season. When favored, the Mets went 59-39 this year and 33-36 as the underdog.
The Mets and Phillies are tied 1-1 in their NL Divisional Round series, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 85-77. The over has hit in two straight games for the Mets, and the over/under line for their games this season has averaged 8 runs.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 86-81 overall. They are 38-43 against the run line at home and 48-38 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two home games and are on a three-game run line win streak as the underdog.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their home and road scoring numbers are consistent, with 4.7 runs per game at home and 4.8 runs per game on the road. Their 207 total home runs are 6th in the league, and their .246 team batting average is 8th. The Mets have been getting good power production, as their .169 ISO ranks 7th. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the top hitters for the Mets this season, with Lindor leading the team in RBIs with 91. In terms of recent performances, Brandon Nimmo is on an 8-game hitting streak, and Mark Vientos has been hitting .348 over his last 6 games.
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Phillies Mets Pitching
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. Nola has made 33 starts this season and has a record of 14-8 with a 3.57 ERA. So far, he has pitched much better at home, coming in with a 3.76 ERA compared to 4.54 on the road. Nola has turned in 20 quality starts this year and has a shutout to his credit. In his last outing, he went five innings, giving up three earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has done a good job of bouncing back from rough outings this month.
Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 32 starts this year and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.47. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 32 starts, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 9.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea most recently faced the Brewers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 3-7 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mets are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mets have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mets have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Phillies vs. Mets matchup is 5-2 in favor of the Mets. Given that you can get the Mets at -106 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going for today’s game.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Aaron Nola finishing with six strikeouts and Sean Manaea with five. As for the Mets and their lineup, we have them finishing with nine strikeouts compared to the Phillies with nine.
Today’s NLDS MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Nothing more beautiful than postseason games at Citi Field 😍 pic.twitter.com/VQdDMeBDCd
— x – New York Mets (@Mets) October 7, 2024
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