Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Twins Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Twins on Monday, July 22nd, 2024 at Target Field, in Minnesota, MN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Twins free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins
(63-36) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins (54-44)
Date: Monday, July 22nd
Time: 7:40 ET
Venue: Target Field Minneapolis, MN
Projected Starting Pitchers: Ranger Suárez vs. Bailey Ober
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -133 | Twins +113 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Twins +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Phillies vs. Twins Gameday
At 7:40 PM ET in Minneapolis, MN, the Twins will host the Phillies in an interleague matchup at Target Field. The Phillies are favored, with a money line of -133 compared to the Twins’ +113. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -116 and the under at -105.
Ranger Suárez will take the mound for the Phillies, while Bailey Ober will get the start for the Twins. The Phillies are currently leading the NL East with a 63-36 record, while the Twins are in 3rd place in the AL Central with a record of 54-44.
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins with a record of 63-36, putting them 8.5 games ahead of the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies lead the division with a mark of 15-10. They are coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Pirates.
At home, the Phillies have gone 37-16 this season, and they are 26-20 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been really good in night games, going 42-18. As the favorite, the Phillies are 55-28 and 19-14 when favored on the road. The team’s overall series record is 19-10-5 but they have dropped two straight series.
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Phillies closed out the series with a 6-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -125 on the money line. It was a big second inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs the entire game. Philadelphia’s offense added another three runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. Going on the road, the Phillies scored their six runs on 11 hits and only hit one home run.
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Tyler Phillips put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out three Pirates batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and a run scored. The Phillies also had three other players with two hits.
Phillies Gambling
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 44-50. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a record of 15-11-1. So far this season, 43.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 29.3% have had lines set lower. The under has hit in the last two Phillies games.
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet this season, going 51-48 overall. They have been particularly good as the favorite, going 43-40. Their average run margin this season is +1.1 runs per game. They have been a slightly better run line bet on the road, going 24-22, compared to 27-26 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8 runs per game, while it drops to -3.6 runs per game in losses.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. They are 3rd in runs per game, 3rd in batting average, and 3rd in OPS. At home, they are even better, leading the league in runs per game at 5.4. They have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos both on 3-game hitting streaks. Harper is 2nd on the team in batting average and leads the team in on-base percentage. Alec Bohm has been the team’s best run producer this season, as his 71 RBI are 3rd in the league.
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Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, heading into today’s matchup vs. the Phillies. The Twins will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Brewers. So far, they are 19-13 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Twins are 27-20 this season and 27-24 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 44-26 and 10-18 as the underdog. They have dropped two straight at home, and their overall series record is 19-11-2 this year.
The Twins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with an 8-7 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Brewers scored two runs in the top of the 9th. Minnesota was the -164 favorite at home going into the game.
Joe Ryan got the start for the Twins, going six innings and giving up four earned runs on seven hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and took the loss. Byron Buxton had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with two homers and two RBIs.
Twins Gambling
Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for the Twins is 49-47. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, Minnesota’s record is 7-14-2. The over has hit in two straight games for the Twins.
Minnesota has been a solid run line team on the road this season, going 28-23, but they have struggled at home, going 18-29. The Twins’ average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 46-52. They have been a better run line team as the underdog, going 15-13, compared to 31-39 as the favorite.
Twins Stats
The Minnesota Twins have been a solid offensive team this season, ranking 7th in runs per game at 4.9. Their hitting has been consistent both at home and on the road, with a .253 batting average that ranks 6th in the league. Their slugging percentage of .427 is 3rd in the league, and their OPS of .750 is 5th. They have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Byron Buxton hitting .294 with 2 home runs in his last 5 games. Carlos Correa is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Phillies Twins Pitching
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 10-4. Suárez’s ERA is currently 2.76, along with a WHIP of 1.04. In his 19 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-3 and an ERA of 2.96.
Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the White Sox, as he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had pitched well, going 6 innings and giving up just one earned run in back-to-back outings. Ober’s ERA for the season is 4.14, along with a record of 8-5. Opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander this season. Ober has made one complete game this year and has nine quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.54 strikeouts and just 2.16 walks.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Twins are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Twins have a 7-3 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Twins have a record of 0-3 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predictions for this Phillies vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at +113. We have the Twins winning this one by a score of 4-3. If you’re looking for a parlay, we would recommend taking the under, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, compared to Ranger Suarez, who we have finishing with six. Suarez is also projected to give up seven hits compared to Ober, who is projected to give up five.
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