Free NLDS – Game 4 Pick: Phillies vs. Dodgers Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Dodgers on 10/9 at Dodger Stadium, in Los Angeles. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Dodgers free pick.
2025 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Dodgers
NLDS – Game 4
(1-2) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4-1)
Date: Oct 09, 2025
Time: 6:08 PM ET
Venue: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez vs. Tyler Glasnow
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -104 | Dodgers -120 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Dodgers +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Gameday
As Game 4 of the NLDS arrives, the Dodgers hold a 2-1 lead over the Phillies. The matchup returns to Dodger Stadium, where the lights shine bright and October tension always runs high. On a clear night in LA, first pitch is set for 6:08 PM on TBS from Chavez Ravine.
The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, wrapped up an excellent 96-66 regular season but were less dominant away from home at 41-40. Their Game 3 performance, however, showed plenty of fight — an 8-2 win that reminded everyone why this lineup can erupt at any moment.
On the other side, the Dodgers, guided by Dave Roberts, finished 93-69 and were stellar in L.A., going 52-29 at home.
They’ve controlled the series so far despite that stumble in Game 3 and will look to lock in again behind their deep lineup and reliable pitching.
Head-to-head, LA leads the series two games to one, though the Phillies have actually outscored them by a slim margin overall.
With the momentum swinging back and forth, Game 4 has all the makings of a classic postseason duel.
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Phillies vs. Dodgers Pitching Matchup
Cristopher Sánchez takes the mound for the Phillies, bringing a 2.50 ERA and a 13-5 record into this one. His 1.06 WHIP shows excellent command, and his ability to generate ground balls has been a huge advantage for Phili.
Sánchez has been consistent all season, rarely giving up big innings and often keeping the game within reach. That dependability has turned him into one of the club’s most trusted arms.
Across the diamond, Tyler Glasnow gets the call for the Dodgers. He enters with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP, plus elite strikeout stuff that can dominate any lineup when he’s locked in.
Glasnow’s recent outings have mixed brilliance with occasional control issues, but when he’s sharp, he’s nearly unhittable.
Expect a high-stakes, chess-match-style duel between two lefties who can both flip the script at any moment.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, as Game 4 approaches, the oddsmakers lean slightly toward the Dodgers. They sit at -120 on the moneyline, while the Phillies are listed at even money (+100). The runline also favors Los Angeles at -131, compared to Philadelphia’s -105, with the total set at 8 runs.
Philadelphia’s Game 3 showing — an 8-2 win — reestablished their confidence. The Dodgers, on the other hand, took the first two games 4-3 and 5-3, showing how tight this series has been from the start.
Overall, two of the three matchups have gone over the total, thanks to both clubs’ power-heavy lineups.
The Phillies have a slight edge in total runs scored, but the Dodgers have been more consistent in late-game execution.
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Dodgers Stats
Let’s look at the Dodgers’ offensive profile. They rank 4th in MLB in batting average (.253) and 3rd in on-base percentage (.327). Their .441 slugging percentage and 244 home runs both rank 2nd, reflecting their deep, dangerous order.
On the pitching side, LA owns a 3.95 ERA (15th) but a strong opponent batting average of .232 (5th). They’ve allowed 175 home runs (10th) and tallied 52 quality starts (14th).
That combination of command and control has helped them stay steady throughout the year.
Recently, the Dodgers have been hot and cold. After dropping Game 3, they’ll lean on their rotation depth and bullpen strength to respond. Before that loss, they took the first two games behind Blake Snell’s solid outing and a timely offensive surge.
Shohei Ohtani continues to drive the Dodgers’ attack with a .282 average and 55 home runs, ranking 3rd in the majors. Freddie Freeman adds balance with a .295 average and 24 homers, forming one of the most productive duos in baseball.
Kiké Hernández has also stepped up when it matters most, posting a .975 OPS with two home runs over his final 8 regular-season games and carrying an impressive career .278/.353/.522 line with 15 postseason homers in 86 playoff appearances.
This trio’s consistency has been huge for the Dodgers World Series push.
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Phillies Stats
The Phillies remain one of baseball’s most complete clubs. Their .258 average ranks 2nd in the league, and their .327 on-base percentage is tied for 3rd. Their .431 slugging percentage places them 4th, with 212 home runs good for 9th.
They’ve also produced plenty of extra-base hits — 268 doubles (7th overall). On the mound, their 3.79 ERA ranks 8th, and they lead the majors with 84 quality starts.
Despite allowing 177 home runs (11th), the Phillies’ pitching staff remains one of the most durable and reliable. Their recent Game 3 victory featured a powerful display from Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto, giving them a crucial spark heading into tonight.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers bottom line: The Phils challenge now lies in maintaining that intensity against a Dodgers team that rarely drops consecutive home games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. LA Dodgers Baseball Betting Trends
- The Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games straight-up.
- Also, the Dodgers have gone over the total in 3 of their last 5.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in 3 of their last 5.
- The Phillies have split their last 4 games straight-up, going 2-2.
- Additionally, the Phillies have gone under the total in 3 of their last 5.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 3 of their last 5.
NLDS – Game 4 Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction: Under 7.5
Here is my Phillies Dodgers free pick. This one feels too close to call on the side, so the total takes center stage. The Dodgers have been rolling, winning four of their last five, but their games have been a mixed bag for bettors — the total has gone over in three of those outings, largely due to their explosive lineup.
The Phillies, meanwhile, have been anchored by pitching, splitting their last four games but seeing the total stay under in three of them. In fact, the total has gone under in five of Philadelphia’s last six games, a clear sign that their arms are keeping opponents quiet.
With both rotations dealing and bullpens sharp, this matchup sets up perfectly for a low-scoring playoff battle.
Philadelphia ranks fifth in batting average against, a key indicator of how tough they’ve been to hit, while Los Angeles can match that strength on the mound when locked in.
The playoff atmosphere only tightens the screws further, often turning big bats into patient at-bats.
Given both teams’ recent under trends and elite pitching depth, the under 7.5 stands out as the smarter angle. My system tells me runs should be at a premium in this one.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
One pitch is all Tommy needed! pic.twitter.com/ypAQWbDLWZ
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 9, 2025
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