Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Red Sox on Sunday, July 11th, 2021 at Fenway Park in Boston, MA. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Red Sox free pick.
2021 MLB Handicapping
(42-44) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox (55-34)
Date: Sunday, July 11th, 2021
Time: 1:10 PM ET
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Projected Pitchers: Aaron Nola (PHI) vs. Nick Pivetta (BOS)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -105 Red Sox -116
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Phillies +1.5, Red Sox -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 10
The Phillies will be in Boston to take on the Red Sox for game 3 Sunday at 1:10 ET.
The Red Sox took the first game of the series on Friday 11-5.
Two former teammates will be going at it when Aaron Nola faces off against Nick Pivetta.
The Phillies have not played that great so far. They have won 3 of their last 5 games.
This team is 3rd in the National League East with a record of 42-44. The Mets lead them by 5 games.
The Phillies took 3 out of 4 against the Cubs this past week. In that series, they scored 39 runs and allowed 21 runs.
Vince Velasquez got rocked on Friday. The righty went 2.1 innings and allowed 8 earned runs.
Aaron Nola has not been the pitcher we are used to seeing. The righty is 6-5 with a 4.53 ERA. His last start was against the Cubs on Tuesday where he went 6 innings and allowed 4 earned runs. The Phillies won this one 15-10.
The pitching for this team has not been great. They have a 4.41 ERA which is 18th best in baseball. Their bullpen has really struggled thus far.
This team has done a good job on offense. They are scoring 4.49 runs per game which is 13th best in baseball.
Jean Segura, Bryce Harper, and Rhys Hoskins are some key hitters in their lineup.
Philly has hit 99 home runs which is 19th best in the game.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox continue to have a good season so far. They have truly surprised a lot of people. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games.
Boston still remains first in the American League East with a record of 55-34. They are 2.5 games ahead of the Rays.
The Sox dropped 2 out of 3 against the Angels this week. In that series, Boston scored 12 runs and allowed 14.
Garrett Richards went 5 innings and allowed 3 earned runs on Friday.
Nick Pivetta started off the year very good, but he has struggled a little bit since then. His last start was very good when he went on Sunday against the A’s. The righty went 7 innings, did not allow an earned run, and struck out 10 batters. The Red Sox won this game 1-0.
Pitching for this team has been much better than it was last year. They have a 4.01 ERA which is 13th best in baseball.
Their offense has been quite impressive. They are scoring 5.15 runs per game which is 3rd best in baseball.
Boston has hit 113 home runs which is 7th best in baseball.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Phillies are 9-19 in their last 28 Sunday games.
- Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 interleague games games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Phillies are 4-11 in their last 15 games vs. the American League East.
- Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right handed starter.
- Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.
- Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction:
I look for the Red Sox to keep up their good play on Sunday. I just do not have much confidence betting the Phillies in this one.
The Red Sox are the better team and I feel they will show that on Sunday. Boston needs to keep up their good play if they want to stay 1st in their division.
Aaron Nola is the better pitcher but he has not pitched like it this year. I look for Pivetta to pitch well in this one and for the Sox to hit around Nola.
I will lay the -116 with the Red Sox in this one.
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