Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves 8/22/2024 Free Pick & MLB Betting Prediction




Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Braves Odds

Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Braves on Thursday, August 22nd, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Braves free pick.

2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

(74-52) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (67-59)
Date: Thursday, August 22nd
Time: 7:08 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez vs. Spencer Schwellenbach
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies -107 | Braves -112 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Braves +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8

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Phillies vs. Braves Gameday

It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Atlanta, as the Braves host the Phillies in a key NL East matchup. First pitch is set for 7:08 PM ET at Truist Park, with the game being broadcast on FOX. The Phillies are slight road favorites, with a money line payout of -107 compared to the Braves at -112.

On the mound, it’s Cristopher Sánchez for the Phillies against Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -114 compared to the under at -107.

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Max Fried, as he went seven innings and gave up just two runs as the Braves starter vs. the Phillies. Fried did give up two homers and took the loss in the game. On the other side, Aaron Nola started for the Phillies, giving up two earned runs across 5 1/3 innings.

Philadelphia’s offense was led by Weston Wilson, who homered twice and went 2/3 at the plate. Wilson scored all three of the Phillies’ runs. As for the Braves, Orlando Arcia hit a home run and went 1/3.

Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies, while Carlos Estevez got the save. Joe Jimenez took the loss for Atlanta out of the bullpen.

With a record of 74-52, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies took the series opener but dropped game two, so they are 20-13 in the division this year. As the road team today, the Phillies are 32-29 this season.

Philadelphia has gone 5-5 across their last ten games and are 42-23 at home compared to 32-29 on the road. This year, the Phillies have been the favorite in 103 games, going 63-40 in those games. As the underdog, the Phillies are 11-12 this year, and their overall series record is 21-14-6.

The Phillies have played in 61 games this season with an over/under line set at 8 runs, and their record in those games is 17-14-1. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 58-62. The over/under line for today’s game against the Braves is set at 8 runs.

Phillies Gambling

When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a coin flip proposition this season. They are 61-65 overall, but have been slightly better on the road, going 30-31. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 31-34. They have been favored in 103 games and have gone 49-54 on the run line. As an underdog, they are 12-11.

Phillies Stats

The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly potent, as they are scoring 5.3 runs per game at home, which is 2nd in the league. Their batting average of .257 is 4th in the league, and their .326 on-base percentage ranks 6th. The Phillies have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, including Alec Bohm, who is hitting .261 with 4 runs and 1 home run in his last 6 games. The Phillies have Edmundo Sosa on a 3-game hitting streak.

With a record of 67-59, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 19-17 in divisional games. The Braves will take on the Phillies at home today, and they are 33-27 at home this season.

Atlanta has been good on the road this year, putting together a mark of 34-32. As the favorite, the Braves are 57-46 and 10-13 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 20-15-5, and they have won two straight series.

When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. This season, the average combined run total in their games is 8.2. Overall, Atlanta has played to the under in 47 of their 74 games with an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Braves have gone over the total in 7 games, under in 13, and pushed in 1. This season, 59.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs. Their current under streak is at 3 games.

Braves Gambling

When the Braves win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.7. They are 58-68 against the run line this season, including 25-35 at home. As the underdog, they have covered the run line in 13 of 23 games, and they have done so in each of their last two games overall and as the underdog.

Braves Stats

The Atlanta Braves have been an average offensive team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Their home offense has been slightly worse, averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. However, their power has been a strength, as their total of 165 home runs is 4th in the league. Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.309), on-base percentage (.381), home runs (37), and RBI (94). He is currently on a 6-game hitting streak, hitting .440 over his last 7 games.

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Phillies Braves Pitching

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. Sánchez has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Sánchez has a WHIP of 1.25 and opponents are batting .253 this season. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. His most recent outing was a good one, as he went nine innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.04. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.07. In his 13 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.11 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without losing.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends

• The Phillies head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
• The Phillies they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
• Conversely, the Braves are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
• Furthermore, the Braves have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
• Also, the Phillies are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
• The Braves have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:

Our predicted final score for this Phillies and Braves matchup is 3-2 in favor of the Braves. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with five strikeouts compared to Cristopher Sanchez with just 4. Sanchez is also projected to give up five earned runs, while Schwellenbach is at 3.

Today’s MLB Free Pick

MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day

Arseeya later!@Delta | #BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/KRMiubN4qc

— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 22, 2024

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About Carl Taylor

Carl “End Game” Taylor has been engulfed in the sports betting lifestyle for over 20 years. His gambling defeats early on could've put triplets through an Ivy League education. The positive is that now from those lessons learned he enjoys a much better windfall than a piece of paper from Brown or Harvard. Stay tuned for Carl's daily sports betting picks and winning advice.

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