Free MLB Pick: Phillies vs. Braves Odds
Looking for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Phillies taking on the Braves on Wednesday, August 21st, 2024 at Truist Park, in Atlanta, GA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Phillies Braves free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
(73-52) Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (67-58)
Date: Wednesday, August 21st
Time: 7:20 ET
Venue: Truist Park Atlanta, GA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Max Fried
MLB Moneyline Odds: Phillies +100 | Braves -119 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 | Braves +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Phillies vs. Braves Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Atlanta, where the Braves will host the Phillies at Truist Park. First pitch is set for 7:20 PM, and the weather forecast calls for 86 degrees with broken clouds. The Phillies are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and maintain their hold on first place in the NL East, while the Braves are aiming to extend their winning streak to four games and close the gap in the division race.
On the mound, we have a marquee matchup between Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Max Fried for the Braves. The oddsmakers have this one as a close contest, with the Braves currently holding a slight edge on the money line at -119 compared to the Phillies at +100. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -107 and the under at -113.
The most recent game o of this Phillies and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Phillies rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-1 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +132 on the money line.
Reynaldo Lopez only went five innings for the Braves but gave up just one run and struck out 10. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Zack Wheeler had a good outing for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Alec Bohm was the only Phillies hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Marcell Ozuna did the most damage for the Braves, going 1/3 with a home run.
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Philadelphia is currently 73-52 overall and leads the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies are on a two-game losing streak, and this losing streak came after winning three straight. So far, they are 19-13 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have gone 42-23 this year, and they are just over .500 at 31-29 on the road. This season, the Phillies have been favored in 102 of their games, and they are 62-40 in those games. As the underdog, the Phillies are 11-12 this year, and their overall series record is 21-14-6.
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies have an O/U record of 58-61 this season. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a record of 17-14-1. So far this season, 61 of the Phillies’ games have had O/U lines set at over 8 runs, which accounts for 48.8% of their games.
Phillies Gambling
When the Phillies are on the road, they have a run line record of 30-30, but they have failed to cover in their last four road games. They have been favored in 102 games this season and have a run line record of 49-53 in those games. Their average run differential in all games is +0.8 runs per game.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, especially at home, where they are averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. Their overall batting average of .257 ranks 4th in the MLB, and their OBP of .327 is 5th. They have a few hitters who have been performing well recently, with Alec Bohm hitting .294 over his last 9 games, and Nick Castellanos hitting .324 over his last 9 games. Castellanos is also on an 8-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been solid all season, with Harper ranking 2nd on the team in OBP and Schwarber leading the team in home runs and OBP.
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With an overall record of 67-58, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have won three straight games, and they are 19-16 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have taken two straight series, and their overall series record is 20-15-5 this year.
At home, the Braves are 33-26 this season and 34-32 on the road. Atlanta has been good as the favorite this year, going 57-46, and they are 10-12 as the underdog. So far, they are 1-1 as the home underdog this season.
Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right in line with the Braves’ season average of 8.2 runs per game. The over/under record for Atlanta games this season is 47-73, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the record is 7-13-1. The under has hit in the Braves’ last two games.
Braves Gambling
When betting on the Braves this season, it’s been a good idea to take the run line. They are 57-68 against the run line, and they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 33-33. They have an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game, and they have been a better bet in games where they are the underdog, going 12-10 against the run line in those games. They have an average run margin of 0.9 runs per game on the road, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home.
Braves Stats
The Atlanta Braves have been a middle-of-the-pack offensive team this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Their home and road splits show a slight difference, as they score 4.1 runs per game at home (21st) and 4.5 runs per game on the road (10th). The Braves have hit 164 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their batting average of .241 is 13th in the league, and they rank 24th in strikeouts per game. Marcell Ozuna has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .309 with 37 home runs and 94 RBIs. In his last 10 games, Ozuna is hitting .425 with 3 home runs and 5 RBIs. Matt Olson has also been a key contributor, hitting .228 with 21 home runs and 63 RBIs this season.
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Phillies Braves Pitching
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 25 starts this year and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and not giving up a run to the Nationals. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Nola has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. So far, he has one complete game shutout this year.
Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants, as he gets the start for the Braves today. In that start, which came on August 15th, he took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has a record of 7-7 and an ERA of 3.62. Opponents have a batting average of .229 vs. Fried this season. The left-hander has made 21 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.25. Fried has two complete games and one shutout this year, along with 10 quality starts.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Phillies head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Phillies they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Braves are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Braves have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Phillies are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Braves have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Phillies being on the road, we like them to pick up a win against the Braves. The payout for a Phillies win is at +100, and we have them winning this one by a score of 3-1.
Looking at the starting pitchers, both Aaron Nola and Max Fried have a similar strikeout projection, with Nola at six and Fried at six. However, we do have Fried going fewer innings, and he is also giving up more hits than Nola.
Offensively, the Braves are projected to finish with just four hits compared to the Phillies, who we have getting seven hits. However, the Braves are projected to finish with just one run.
Our pick is to take the Phillies on the money line, as there is a good payout and we have them winning this one straight up.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Laureano came in CLUTCH!#BravesCountry pic.twitter.com/suS6EgYzYo
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) August 21, 2024
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