Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Rays Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Rays on Thursday, July 11th, 2024 at Tropicana Field, in Tampa Bay, FL. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Rays free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
(56-38) New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (45-47)
Date: Thursday, July 11th
Time: 6:50 ET
Venue: Tropicana Field St. Petersburg, FL
Projected Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes vs. Shane Baz
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -120 | Rays +102 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Rays +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Yankees vs. Rays Gameday
It’s an AL East showdown tonight in Tampa Bay as the Rays host the Yankees at Tropicana Field. First pitch is set for 6:50 PM ET. The pitching matchup features Nestor Cortes for the Yankees against Shane Baz for the Rays.
Looking at the odds, the Yankees are currently favored at -120 on the money line, while the Rays come in at +102. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -112 compared to -108 for the under.
New York picked up a 2-1 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a good chance to win the game by a larger margin, as they had more hits and fewer strikeouts than the Rays. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +103 on the money line.
Tampa Bay wasted a good outing from Zach Eflin, as he gave up just one run in seven innings of work for the Rays. Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees, giving up one earned run across just 4 1/3 innings. Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen, and Clay Holmes got the save.
Offensively, the Yankees were led by Juan Soto and Trent Grisham, as they were the only two Yankees hitters to have more than one hit. Soto. Tampa Bay’s top hitter was Ben Rortvedt, who went 2/4.
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With an overall record of 56-38, the Yankees are two games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. The Yankees are 14-17 against other teams in the AL East. New York will be on the road today to take on the Rays, and they are 31-19 on the road this year.
The Yankees really need to get things going, as they have dropped seven of their last ten games. New York has split their first two games of this series with the Rays. So far, the Yankees have an overall series record of 16-9-3, and they are 43-32 as the favorite this year.
When the Yankees are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for the Yankees is 48-42, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 7-9-2. The majority of their games have had higher over/under lines, with 63.8% of their games having lines set over 8 runs.
Yankees Gambling
The Yankees have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 29-21. Their average run margin in those games is +1.4. They have been a good run line bet as the underdog, going 15-4. Their average run margin in those games is +0.7.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season. Their offense ranks 2nd in runs per game at 5, and they are 2nd in total home runs with 132. The Yankees have been patient at the plate, leading the league in walks. Their top hitters this season have been Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge leads the team in batting average and has hit 32 home runs and driven in 83 runs. Soto is hitting .293 with a .428 OBP, 21 home runs, and 63 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, Alex Verdugo is hitting .250 over his last 7 games with 2 runs, 1 home run, and 2 RBIs. Ben Rice has 5 runs, 5 home runs, and 10 RBIs over his last 7 games. Giancarlo Stanton is on a 10-game hitting streak, while Gleyber Torres and Trent Grisham have 3 and 4-game hitting streaks, respectively.
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Tampa Bay is 45-47 overall and trails the Orioles by 12 games in the AL East. The Rays are 4th in the division and have gone 11-18 in AL East matchups this year. At home, the Rays are 24-26 compared to 21-21 on the road.
As the favorite, the Rays have gone 26-25 this year and 19-22 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
The Tampa Bay Rays have had a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-43. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 10-13-1. Overall, 40.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and they have gone over in 37 of those games.
Rays Gambling
When the Rays win, they do so by an average of 2.5 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. They are 42-50 against the run line this season, including a 17-33 mark at home. They are 25-17 against the run line on the road, and they are 24-17 against the run line as an underdog.
Rays Stats
The Tampa Bay Rays have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4 runs per game, which ranks 26th in the league. Their home offense has been particularly weak, scoring just 3.8 runs per game at home, which is 28th in the league. Their overall batting numbers are below average, with a .235 team batting average and a .368 slugging percentage. However, Yandy Díaz has been one of their top hitters, batting .269 on the season with 8 home runs and 44 RBIs. Isaac Paredes leads the team with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Randy Arozarena and Jose Siri have also contributed offensively. Yandy Díaz is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Yankees Rays Pitching
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Rays. He has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 3.40 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision vs. the Red Sox, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Cortes has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 1.88 ERA compared to 5.86 on the road.
Shane Baz is getting the start for the Rays at home against the Yankees. He is coming off a loss in his first start of the season, where he went 6 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 7 hits. Baz struck out 6 in that outing.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 3-7 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 2-8 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Rays are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Rays have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Rays have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Rays game is to take the Rays on the money line, with the payout sitting at +102. We have the Rays winning this one by a score of 5-3.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Nestor Cortes finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Shane Baz, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is 16th among starters.
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