Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Cardinals Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Cardinals on Friday, 8/5/2022 at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. Cappers picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Cardinals free pick.
2022 MLB Handicapping
(70-36) New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals (56-48)
Date: Friday, 8/5/2022
Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Projected Pitchers: Nestor Cortes (NYY) vs. Dakota Hudson (STL)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -145 / Cardinals +125
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 (+125) / Cardinals +1.5 (-145)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: 8.5
The Yankees head to St. Louis to play game 1 of the series Friday night against the Cardinals. Nestor Cortes takes the mound for the Yankees and Dakota Hudson will get the ball for the Cardinals.
The Yankees open as -145 road favorites while you can get the Cardinals at +125. The over/under is set at 8.5.
New York Yankees
Nestor Cortes is coming into this game after a solid month of July. He pitched to a 3-0 record with a 2.60 ERA in 5 starts. He picked up the win in his last start against the Royals after pitching 5 innings, giving up 6 hits and 2 earned runs, while striking out 5. Nasty Nestor will look to continue this hot streak when he pitches Friday in St. Louis.
On the season, Cortes is 9-3 with a 2.53 ERA in 19 starts. This really has been a remarkable season for Nestor, that featured him making his 1st all-star team. He will mainly use 3 pitches (fastball, cutter, slider) and on all of them he is giving up under a .225 xBA. Cortes is in the 87th percentile in xERA and 82 percentile on xBA.
As a team, the Yankees rank 15th in BA and 2nd in OBP against righties on the season. The bigger stat, is the Yankees are 5th in slugging against righties on the season. Dakota Hudson was ranked under the 15th percentile in average exit velocity and hard hit percent. With that being said, the best player props to target would be Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo over 1.5 total bases and a sprinkle on each of them to hit a homer.
St. Louis Cardinals
Dakota Hudson will look turn around his season after a bad July. Hudson was 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in 4 starts during the month. He pitched 4.1 innings giving up 2 earned runs in his last start vs the Nationals.
On the season, Hudson is 6-6 in 19 starts. He ranks in the 7th percentile in xERA and 4th percentile in xBA. To show an example using the xERA, his season ERA is 4.10, but his xERA 5.48. The difference between those is 1.38 which explains his 7th percentile ranking.
The Cardinals rank 4th in BA and 1st in OBP against lefties on the season. Paul Goldschmidt has been pounding lefties all season. He is hitting .463 with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 18 RBIs. This is obviously the player we are going to target. I think the best way to look at this is over 1.5 total bases or over 2.5 hits + runs + RBIs.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 Friday games.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
- Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 0-4 in Hudsons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
New York Yankees vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Prediction:
This game just screams the over. The teams have hit well against lefties (Cardinals) and righties (Yankees). The trends also point to the over being a great bet in this match-up. Then give me Judge to homer and Goldschmidt over 1.5 total bases.
4* Free MLB Pick: Over 8.5
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