Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Phillies on Monday, July 29th, 2024 at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Phillies free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies
(62-45) New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies (65-40)
Date: Monday, July 29th
Time: 6:40 ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park Philadelphia, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil vs. Zack Wheeler
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees +125 | Phillies -149 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees +1.5 | Phillies -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9
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Yankees vs. Phillies Gameday
Interleague play tonight as the New York Yankees take on the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET with Luis Gil on the mound for the Yankees, while Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies.
Oddsmakers have the Phillies as the favorite in this one, with a money line of -149 compared to the Yankees at +125. The over/under line is set at 9 runs, with the over paying out at -109 compared to the under at -112.
New York Yankees
The Yankees are 62-45 overall this season, putting them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is on a two-game winning streak, and they are 19-11-4 in series this year. The Yankees have won two straight series and closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with a win.
At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season, and they have been really good on the road at 35-22. As the road underdog, the Yankees have gone 14-4 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog overall. New York’s overall record includes a mark of 20-22 in AL East matchups.
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The Yankees’ offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox, closing out their series with an 8-2 win. After allowing three runs to the Red Sox in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with three runs of their own. New York went on to add another three runs in the 4th inning.
Starting for the Yankees was Carlos Rodon, who picked up the win while tossing 6 1/3 innings of two-run ball. He also finished with seven K’s and issued just one walk. Austin Wells went 2/4 with a run scored and a RBI.
Yankees Gambling
The Yankees are on the road against the Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 57-46. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 4-9-2. In 12 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, which accounts for 11.2% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 4 games.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been a profitable endeavor this season. They are 56-51 overall, and 33-24 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 17-4 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, while it’s -3.4 in losses.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been the best offensive team in the league this season, leading the league in runs per game with 5. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Their offense is powered by their elite power, as they rank 2nd in total home runs with 155. Their top hitters for the season have been Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, with Judge leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBI. Judge is also on a 3-game hitting streak. Gleyber Torres has been hot as well, hitting .364 over his last 5 games.
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Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 65-40 overall this season, and they lead the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies will host the Yankees today with an overall division record of 15-10. At home, the Phillies are 38-18 this year.
The Phillies have dropped four straight series, and their overall series record is 19-12-5 this year. They are just 8-8 as the underdog this year compared to 57-32 as the favorite. Philadelphia’s struggles have been on full display recently, as they are just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Guardians scored a run in the top of the 8th to tie things up. Philadelphia was the -129 favorite at home going into the game.
Kolby Allard put together a good start for the Phillies, going four innings and giving up just three hits and one earned run while striking out one. However, the Phillies couldnjson’t close things out, and José Alvarado took the loss out of the bullpen. The Phillies also wasted a big game from Kyle Schwarber, who homered twice, going 2/4.
Phillies Gambling
The Philadelphia Phillies are home today against the New York Yankees, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Phillies’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-54. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 3-10-1. Overall, only 13.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
When the Phillies win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, with an average run differential of 3.9 runs per game. That has helped them to a 53-52 run line record on the season. At home, they have been even better, with a run line record of 28-28 and an average run differential of 1.6 runs per game.
Phillies Stats
The Philadelphia Phillies have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 5th in runs per game with 4.9. They have been particularly effective at home, where they lead the league with 5.3 runs per game. Their batting average of .256 is 4th in the league, and their .328 OBP and .422 SLG are both 4th. Kyle Schwarber has been hot at the plate, hitting .304 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs over his last 6 games. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm have also been key contributors, with Harper leading the team in OBP and Bohm leading the team in RBIs.
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Yankees Phillies Pitching
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes in with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.10. So far this year, he has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .168 off the right-hander. Gil has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.46 compared to 6.48 at home.
Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 10-4 and an ERA of 2.55. So far, he has made 20 starts and 15 of them have been quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 1.89, compared to 4.45 on the road. He most recently faced the Twins, where he went seven innings, giving up three hits, two walks, and two earned runs. Wheeler finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been one of the Phillies’ most consistent starters this season.
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Phillies are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Phillies have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Phillies have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line, with the payout being -149. We actually have the Yankees finishing with more home runs than the Phillies, but we see the Phillies out-hitting the Yankees and picking up a 6-5 win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler has the second-best chances of picking up a win today, and Luis Gil is fourth. Wheeler is actually projected to finish with fewer strikeouts than Gil, but he does have a higher strikeout ceiling if you’re looking to go with a starting pitcher in a DFS lineup.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
HAPPY SCHWARBOMB BEACH TOWEL DAY TO ALL WHO CELEBRATE pic.twitter.com/yFPPy6jcxe
— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) July 28, 2024
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