New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 10/9/2024 Free Pick & MLB Betting Prediction




Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Royals Odds

Looking for New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Royals on Wednesday, October 9th, 2024 at Kauffman Stadium, in Kansas City, MO. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Royals ALDS free pick.

2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals

2024 MLB Playoffs – ALDS
(94-68) New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals (86-76)
Date: Wednesday, October 9th
Time: 7:08 ET
Venue: Kauffman Stadium Kansas City, MO
Projected Starting Pitchers: Clarke Schmidt vs. Seth Lugo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -115 | Royals -102 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Royals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8

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Yankees vs. Royals Gameday

It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Kansas City, where the Royals will host the Yankees in this AL matchup. First pitch is set for 7:08 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium. The temperature is expected to be 79 degrees with a clear sky.

Clarke Schmidt will get the start for the Yankees, while Seth Lugo will take the mound for the Royals. The Yankees are the slight favorites on the road, with a money line of -115 compared to the Royals’ -102. The over/under line is set at 8 runs.

Thanks to a four-run 4th inning for the Royals’ offense, they cruised to a 4-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +130 on the money line.

The starting pitching matchup for this game featured Carlos Rodón for the Yankees, and he went just 3 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Cole Ragans put together a good outing for the Royals, getting the win after going four innings and giving up just one earned run.

Kansas City got a huge performance from Maikel Garcia, as he went 4/5 with an RBI to help lead the offense. Both Salvador Perez and Garrett Hampson each drove in a run for the Royals’ attack.

The Yankees and Royals are tied 1-1 in their AL Divisional Round series, and the Yankees will be on the road for today’s game. New York leads the AL East with an overall record of 94-68, which includes a 26-26 mark against other teams in their division. The Yankees are currently on a three-game winning streak on the road.

As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 77-61 this season and 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 29-18-5, and they have won three straight series on the road. Looking at their overall play, the Yankees are just 5-5 over their last ten games.

Through the first two games of the AL Divisional Round series between the Yankees and Royals, the teams have combined for 18 runs, which is well above their combined season average of 9.1 runs per game.

The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and the over/under record for the season is 87-72.

The over/under record for games with a line of 8 runs is 12-16-2, and 66.7% of the games this season have had a line set higher than 8 runs.

Yankees Gambling

Through 164 games, the Yankees have been a solid run-line bet, going 84-80. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 49-32 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have a run-line scoring margin of +1.4 runs per game away from Yankee Stadium.

Yankees Stats

The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season.

They are 3rd in runs per game at 5.0 and 1st in total home runs with 237. Their batting average is 7th in the league at .248, but they lead the league in walks. Aaron Judge has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average at .322, on-base percentage at .458, and home runs with 58.

Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .288 with 41 home runs and 109 RBI. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot lately, hitting .375 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI in his last 4 games.

The Yankees have several players on hitting streaks, including Anthony Rizzo at 4 games and DJ LeMahieu at 5 games.

Kansas City will host the Yankees today with their series tied at 1-1. The Royals are 86-76 overall and are 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 33-19 in divisional matchups. The Royals have lost six straight games at home, and they are 45-36 at home this year.

This season, the Royals have been the favorite in 81 games, and they are 50-31 in those games. As the underdog, the Royals are 39-46 this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 24-26-3, and they have dropped two straight series at home. Over the last 10 games, the Royals are 7-3.

The Royals and Yankees are tied 1-1 in their AL Divisional Round series, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for these teams is 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 70-91.

The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 16-17-3. This season, 58.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.

Royals Gambling

Heading into Game 3 of their AL Divisional Round series against the Yankees, the Royals are 93-73 against the run line this season. They have a run line record of 43-38 at home and 50-35 on the road. Their average run margin this season is +0.6 runs per game.

In games they have won, their average run margin is +3.9 runs per game, while in games they have lost, their average run margin is -3.2 runs per game.

They have failed to cover the run line in their last six home games, but have covered the run line in their last six games as the underdog.

Royals Stats

The Kansas City Royals have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.5 runs per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Their batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, but their walk rate is 25th.

The Royals have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 2nd in the league in that category. Their top hitters this season have been Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, with Witt Jr. leading the team in batting average, on-base percentage, home runs, and RBIs.

Salvador Perez is on a 5-game hitting streak, as is Michael Massey, who has been hot at the plate, hitting .368 over his last 5 games.

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Yankees Royals Pitching

New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today as he faces the Royals on the road. Schmidt has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.18 and has issued 3.16 walks per nine innings compared to 9.81 strikeouts.

He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Schmidt has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today and comes in with a record of 16-9 and an ERA of 3.00. So far, he has made 33 starts and 22 of them have been quality starts. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09.

In his 206 2/3 innings of work, he has only allowed 16 home runs. Lugo most recently faced the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Baseball Betting Trends

• The Yankees head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
• The Yankees they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
• Conversely, the Royals are 7-3 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
• Furthermore, the Royals have a 8-2 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
• Also, the Yankees are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
• The Royals have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:

Our predicted final score for this Yankees and Royals matchup is 4-3 in favor of the Yankees. With the Yankees picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is at -115.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Seth Lugo lasting longer in this one than Clarke Schmidt. However, Lugo is projected to give up more runs and finish with fewer strikeouts than Schmidt. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Yankees on the money line with the over, as we have this one finishing with a combined seven runs.

Today’s ALDS – MLB Free Pick

MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day

The Boys are back home. ✈️@united pic.twitter.com/WiJrN5TJr2

— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) October 8, 2024

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About Brent Matousek

Brent is a Cappers Picks regular contributor since 2014. He was not new to betting back then, and he's even better now! Gambling since the first day he turned 18.

Filed Under: MLB Baseball