Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Guardians on Saturday, October 19th, 2024 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Guardians ALCS game 5 free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians
2024 MLB Playoffs – ALCS Game 5
(94-68) New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)
Date: Saturday, October 19th
Time: 8:08 ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Carlos Rodón vs. Tanner Bibee
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -118 | Guardians -101 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Guardians +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Yankees vs. Guardians Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Cleveland, Ohio, as the New York Yankees take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field in Game 5 of the 2024 ALCS. First pitch is set for 8:08 PM, with the temperature expected to be around 65 degrees under a clear sky.
Carlos Rodón will get the start for the Yankees, while Tanner Bibee will take the mound for the Guardians. The Yankees come into this one as a slight favorite, with a money line of -118 compared to the Guardians’ -101. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -101 and the under at -120.
New York rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Yankees vs. Guardians series. The Yankees scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up an 8-6 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -124 on the money line.
Luis Gil started for the Yankees, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out three. Mark Leiter Jr. got the win out of the bullpen, and Tommy Kahnle got the save. Emmanuel Clase took the loss for the Guardians out of the bullpen.
Giancarlo Stanton and Juan Soto each homered for the Yankees, while Austin Wells went 1/4 with three RBIs. Gleyber Torres and Anthony Volpe each had two hits and an RBI.
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The Yankees are looking to close out their series vs. the Guardians today, leading the series 3-1. New York is 94-68 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles. So far, they are just .500 in divisional games (26-26). The Yankees have won two straight series and are 31-18-5 in series this year.
At home, the Yankees are 44-37 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 50-31. As the favorite, the Yankees are 82-62 this year, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. Looking at their overall recent play, the Yankees are 7-3 across their last ten games.
The Yankees are on the road in Cleveland for Game 5 of their series, leading 3-1. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. The over/under record for the season is 90-75, and the over has hit in three straight games for the Yankees.
Yankees Gambling
The Yankees have a slight edge in run differential on the road this season, averaging 1.4 more runs per game than their opponents. Their run line record on the road is 51-34, compared to 37-48 at home. The Yankees have been favored in 144 games this season, going 66-78 against the run line. They have been an underdog just 26 times, going 22-4.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have one of the most potent offenses in baseball, leading the league in total home runs with 237. Their offense ranks 3rd in runs per game at 5, and they are 3rd in runs per game on the road at 5.2. The Yankees also have the best walk rate in the league.
Aaron Judge has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average (.322), on-base percentage (.458), home runs (58), and RBI (144). In recent games, Giancarlo Stanton has been hot, hitting .294 with 3 home runs in his last 5 games, while Gleyber Torres is hitting .364 in his last 5 games.
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Cleveland is hosting the Yankees for game five of the series, with New York leading 3-1. The Guardians will need to win this game to keep their season alive. Currently, the Guardians lead the AL Central with a record of 92-69, which includes a 30-22 mark against other teams in their division.
At home, the Guardians have gone 50-30 this season and are just above .500 at 42-39 on the road. As the favorite, Cleveland has put together a record of 66-37 this season, and they are 30-37 as the underdog. So far, they have been .500 at home when coming in as the underdog, going 9-9.
The Cleveland Guardians are in a must-win situation as they trail the New York Yankees 3-1 in the series heading into Game 5. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.3 runs per game. The over/under record for the Guardians this season is 73-85, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs per game. The over has hit in three straight games for Cleveland.
Guardians Gambling
Despite being the home team, the Guardians are the underdog in Game 5 against the Yankees. Cleveland is 42-43 against the run line at home this season, while the Yankees have a run line record of 43-42 on the road. The Guardians’ average run margin in winning games this season is 3.3, while the Yankees have a road scoring margin of 0.3.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks 14th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. Their batting average of .238 is below average, but they do not strike out much, ranking 4th in the league in strikeouts per game.
José Ramírez has been one of their top hitters this season, with a .279 batting average, 39 home runs, and 118 RBIs. Steven Kwan has been hot at the plate recently, hitting .433 over his last 7 games. José Ramírez is also on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Yankees Guardians Pitching
Carlos Rodón will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Guardians and picked up the win. In that October 14th outing, he went 6 innings and gave up just one earned run.
Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has made 32 starts and has a record of 16-9. His ERA for the season is 3.96, along with a WHIP of 1.22.
Opponents have a batting average of .226 this season off Rodón. So far, he has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.03 strikeouts per nine innings.
Cleveland is sending Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he comes into the game with a record of 12-8 and an ERA of 3.47. Bibee has made 31 starts this year, and opponents are batting .225 off the right-hander.
In his 34 appearances, Bibee has turned in 12 quality starts. The right-hander’s last outing came on October 15th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work.
Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Bibee has a 4.30 ERA at home compared to 3.57 on the road.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 8-2 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 7-3 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Guardians are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Guardians have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Guardians have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is that the Yankees will pick up a 4-2 road win. With the Yankees picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where you can get them at -118.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tanner Bibee with six as well. As for the Yankees and Guardians’ lineups, we have the Yankees finishing with more home runs and also out-hitting the Guardians.
Today’s MLB ALCS Game 5 Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
It’s just a silly little game after all.#ForTheLand | #GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/zocjsDbx2y
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) October 19, 2024
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