Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Guardians Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Guardians on Friday, October 18th, 2024 at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, OH. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Guardians ALCS Game 4 free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians
(94-68) New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)
2024 MLB Playoffs – ALCS Game 4
Date: Friday, October 18th
Time: 8:08 ET
Venue: Progressive Field Cleveland, OH
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Gil vs. Gavin Williams
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -123 | Guardians +105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Guardians +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Yankees vs. Guardians Gameday
It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Cleveland, Ohio, as the Cleveland Guardians host the New York Yankees in this 2024 ALCS Game 4 matchup. First pitch is set for 8:08 pm at Progressive Field, with clear skies and a temperature of 63 degrees in the forecast.
On the mound for the Yankees is Luis Gil, while the Guardians will counter with Gavin Williams. The Yankees come into this one as the slight favorites, with a money line payout of -123 compared to +105 for the Guardians.
The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -104 compared to -115 for the under.
Cleveland picked up a 7-5 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a three-run 8th inning and scored the game’s final two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at -107 on the money line.
Matthew Boyd got the start for Cleveland, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Pedro Avila got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.
New York’s starter, Clarke Schmidt, lasted just 4 2/3 innings and gave up two earned runs on five hits. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Clay Holmes got the loss out of the bullpen.
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The Yankees lead the AL East by three games over the Orioles and come into today’s game with an overall record of 94-68. New York is 26-26 against other teams in the AL East. The Yankees are 44-37 at home this year and have been really good on the road, going 50-31.
As the favorite, the Yankees have gone 81-62 this year, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 31-18-5, and they have won two straight series. On the road, the Yankees have won four straight series.
Heading into Game 4 of the series, the Yankees lead the Guardians 2-1. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the average line for Yankees games this season.
The over/under record for the Yankees this season is 89-75, and their combined run average is 9.1 runs per game. The over has hit in 66.7% of their games this season, and the over has hit in two straight games.
Yankees Gambling
Heading into Game 4 of the ALDS, the Yankees lead the series 2-1 and have an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game this season. They are 87-82 against the run line overall and 50-34 on the road. They have been favored in 143 games and are 65-78 against the run line in those contests.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been one of the top offensive teams in the league this season.
They rank 3rd in runs per game overall and on the road, and 1st in total home runs. Their batting average is 7th in the league, but their walk rate is the best in the league. Aaron Judge has been their best hitter this season, leading the team in batting average and home runs.
Giancarlo Stanton has been swinging a hot bat lately, hitting .258 with 3 home runs in his last 9 games. Gleyber Torres has also been productive, hitting .300 with 9 runs in his last 8 games. DJ LeMahieu is currently on a 5-game hitting streak.
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Cleveland is 92-69 overall this season, leading the AL Central by 6.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, and they are currently 4-6 over their last 10. As the home team, the Guardians have gone 50-30 this season while going 42-39 on the road.
So far, the Guardians have been the favorite in 103 games, and they have gone 66-37 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, they are 30-36 this season. Cleveland has an overall series record of 30-17-8 this year.
The Cleveland Guardians will look to even the series against the New York Yankees in Game 4 of the ALDS. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is right on par with the teams’ combined run average of 8.2 runs per game.
The over/under record for the Guardians this season is 72-85, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 13-21-6. The over has hit in two straight games for Cleveland.
Guardians Gambling
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 85-84 overall. They are 42-42 at home and 43-42 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 38-28 as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while it’s -3.1 in losses.
Guardians Stats
The Cleveland Guardians have been an average offensive team this season, scoring 4.4 runs per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Their batting average of .238 is below average, but they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, ranking 4th in the league in that category. José Ramírez has been the standout hitter for the Guardians this season, with a .279 batting average, 39 home runs, and 118 RBIs.
Josh Naylor has also been a key contributor, hitting .243 with 31 home runs and 108 RBIs. In terms of recent performances, David Fry has been hot, going 4 for 12 with 2 home runs in his last 5 games. Brayan Rocchio is currently on an 8-game hitting streak.
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Yankees Guardians Pitching
New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today vs. the Guardians, and he comes in with a record of 15-7 and an ERA of 3.50. So far, he has made 29 starts and 10 of them have been quality starts. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19. In his last outing, Gil took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Looking back further, Gil has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. His ERA at home is 6.11 compared to 3.84 on the road.
Cleveland is sending Gavin Williams to the mound today vs. the Yankees, and he has made 16 starts this year. Williams’ record is 3-10, and his ERA is 4.86. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 9.36 strikeouts per nine innings. Williams has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 10.13 compared to 0-7 with a 6.98 ERA at home.
In his last outing, he gave up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Guardians are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Guardians have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Guardians have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees. With the Yankees predicted to win and a money line payout of -123, that is the route we recommend going if you’re looking to place a bet on this game.
Looking at some potential player props, Luis Gil is predicted to finish with five strikeouts compared to Gavin Williams with six. As for the Yankees hitters, they are predicted to finish with nine strikeouts compared to the Guardians with eight.
Today’s ALCS Game 4 Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
David Fry had a legendary moment last night.#ForTheLand | #GuardsBall pic.twitter.com/xbvsUjXxH1
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) October 18, 2024
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