Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds
Looking for New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Yankees taking on the Red Sox on Friday, July 26th, 2024 at Fenway Park, in Boston, MA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Yankees Red Sox free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
(60-44) New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox (54-47)
Date: Friday, July 26th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: Fenway Park Boston, MA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Nestor Cortes vs. Brayan Bello
MLB Moneyline Odds: Yankees -126 | Red Sox +107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Yankees -1.5 | Red Sox +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 9.5
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It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Boston, as the Red Sox host the Yankees in an AL East showdown. First pitch is set for 7:10 at Fenway Park, with the temperature sitting at a comfortable 84 degrees under a clear sky. Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox, while Nestor Cortes takes the mound for the Yankees.
Looking at the odds, the Yankees are currently favored with a money line of -126, while the Red Sox come in at +107. The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, with the over paying out at -115 compared to the under at -107.
New York Yankees
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox, the Yankees are 60-44 overall, which has them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles. New York lost the final two games of their series vs. the Mets, and they are just 4-6 across their last 10 games.
So far, the Yankees have gone 18-21 in AL East matchups. This season, they are 27-23 at home compared to 33-21 on the road. As the road favorite, the Yankees are 20-17 this season, and they are 46-38 overall as the favorite. As for their overall series record, the Yankees are 18-10-4 this year.
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The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mets with a 12-3 loss. New York was actually the heavy favorite at -171 at home but fell behind big early, as the Mets scored six times in the 4th.
Offensively, the Yankees only had three fewer hits than the Mets but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 1st and 3rd innings. Gleyber Torres and Juan Soto each had two hits. Torres hit a homer, and Soto scored one run and drove in another.
Yankees Gambling
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 54-46. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 5-3. Only 1.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs, with just 2 games having that high of a line.
When the Yankees are the underdog, they are a good bet on the run line, going 16-4. They are 38-46 on the run line when favored. Their average run differential in wins is +4.1, while it is -3.4 in losses. Their overall run line record is 54-50, and they have covered the run line in 31 of 54 road games.
Yankees Stats
The New York Yankees have been a strong offensive team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which ranks 4th in the league. Their offense has been especially potent on the road, where they average 5.2 runs per game, 3rd best in the MLB. The Yankees have hit 149 home runs this season, which is 2nd in the league. They have been patient at the plate, leading the league in walks. Their top hitters this season have been Juan Soto and Aaron Judge. Soto is hitting .311 with 26 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Judge is hitting .307 with 35 home runs and 89 RBIs. Soto has been hot lately, hitting .433 with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs in his last 7 games. Giancarlo Stanton is currently on a 10-game hitting streak.
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Boston Red Sox
Boston opens their series vs. the Yankees at home, and they are 3rd in the AL East, 6.5 games behind the Orioles for the division lead. Overall, the Red Sox are 54-47, and they are 13-11 against other AL East teams this year.
The Red Sox have been good on the road at 30-22 but are just 24-25 at home. As the underdog, Boston has dropped four straight, and they are 23-26 as the underdog overall. Boston has won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 15-12-5. They lost two straight series vs. the Rockies.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Rockies with a 20-7 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the slight favorite at -145 on the money line. Things really got away from the Red Sox in the 3rd inning, as the Rockies scored 10 runs in the inning. Boston’s offense scored their only seven runs in the 2nd.
Nick Pivetta got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 2 2/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. Offensively, the Red Sox had 11 hits but only scored seven runs. Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers each had three hits and scored a run. Duran also had three RBIs and a homer.
Red Sox Gambling
When the Boston Red Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs for their games. This season, the Red Sox have played in 95 games with an average combined run total of 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 48-47, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 5-7. The Red Sox have played in 10 games this season with an over/under line set at 9.5 runs, accounting for 9.9% of their games.
When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 29-23 on the run line away from Fenway Park compared to 18-31 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 28-21 compared to 19-33 as the favorite. The Red Sox have an average run differential of 0.3 runs per game, with an average run differential of 0.9 runs per game on the road and -0.3 runs per game at home.
Red Sox Stats
The Boston Red Sox have been a strong offensive team this season, ranking 9th in runs per game with 4.8. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 4th in the league in runs per game at 5.1. The Red Sox have a potent lineup, ranking 3rd in batting average at .257 and 3rd in slugging percentage at .430. Their top hitters this season have been Rafael Devers and Jarren Duran, who have been on a hot streak lately, with Duran hitting .484 over his last 7 games.
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Yankees Red Sox Pitching
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with a 3.99 ERA. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Rays and giving up six earned runs. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight outings. Cortes has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has a 6.31 ERA on the road compared to 2.84 at home.
Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes in with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 5.27. In his 18 starts, Bello has pitched six quality starts and is averaging 8.66 strikeouts per nine innings. Most recently, he faced the Dodgers and finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Bello’s ERA at home is 7.72 compared to 4.88 on the road. Overall, he has been much better at home, going 4-3 compared to 6-2 on the road.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Yankees head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Yankees they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Red Sox are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Red Sox have a 4-6 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Yankees are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Red Sox have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
With the Red Sox as the underdogs at +107, we really like their value to pick up a win at home. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Red Sox, giving you a couple of different ways you could look to bet this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Brayan Bello going six innings and picking up the win. As for Nestor Cortes, he is projected to go six innings as well, but we have him finishing with more earned runs than Bello.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
Today’s MLB Tweet Of The Day
The Generational.
443 ft. for @JuanSoto25_ 💣 pic.twitter.com/zDD615eYQc
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 25, 2024
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