Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Nationals Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Nationals on Monday, July 1st, 2024 at Nationals Park, in Washington, DC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Nationals free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Washington Nationals
(40-41) New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals (39-44)
Date: Monday, July 1st
Time: 6:45 ET
Venue: Nationals Park Washington, DC
Projected Starting Pitchers: David Peterson vs. MacKenzie Gore
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -111 | Nationals -107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Nationals +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8
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Mets vs. Nationals Gameday
At 6:45 PM ET in Washington, DC, the Nationals will host the Mets in an NL East showdown. The Mets are slight favorites on the road, with a money line payout of -111 compared to the Nationals at -107. The over/under line is set at 8 runs, with the over paying out at -114 compared to the under at -106.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets, while MacKenzie Gore will get the start for the Nationals. The Mets are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and improve on their 40-41 record, while the Nationals are hoping to climb back to .500 with a win tonight.
New York Mets
The Mets are 40-41 overall and trail the Phillies by 13.5 games in the NL East. This season, they are 11-10 in divisional matchups. New York is on a two-game losing streak, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Astros. So far, they have gone 21-25 at home compared to 19-16 on the road.
As the road favorite, the Mets are 6-6 this season, and they are an even 21-21 as the favorite overall. New York has been good in series on the road, going 3 straight series wins. Their overall series record is 12-13-3.
New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-5 loss to the Astros, Brandon Nimmo went 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Mets also got a good start from Luis Severino, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on eight hits. However, they took the loss, and Matt Festa out of the bullpen was charged with the loss.
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Severino was especially good for the Mets, as he didn’t walk a batter and struck out three. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and the Astros scored five runs in the top of the 11th to pick up the win. New York was the -125 favorite at home going into the game.
Mets Gambling
The Mets are on the road in Washington today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.6, and their over/under record is 43-36. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-4. Overall, 45.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and they are currently on a streak of five straight overs.
When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 21-14, which is a winning percentage of 60%. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6 runs per game. They have been the underdog in 39 games and have gone 24-15 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5 runs per game, while it is -3.2 runs per game in losses.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a strong offensive team this season, scoring 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. Their offense has been particularly potent on the road, where they average 5.7 runs per game, ranking 1st in the league. The Mets have hit 102 home runs this season, which is 4th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Pete Alonso, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Lindor. Alonso leads the team with 17 home runs and 46 RBIs. Lindor has been hitting .281 over his last 7 games, and Alonso is currently on a 4-game hitting streak.
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Washington Nationals
Washington is 39-44 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 15.5 games for the division lead. In the NL East, they have gone 14-10 this season. The Nationals kick off their series vs. the Mets, with New York 3rd in the division, 2 games ahead of them.
At home, the Nationals are 17-19 this season and 22-25 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going just 31-37. As for their record as the favorite, it is 8-7. Washington’s series record is 11-14-1, and they dropped two straight series.
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 5-0 loss. Washington was the +163 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Nationals in the 2nd inning, as the Rays scored three runs in the inning. Washington’s offense didn’t score their first run until the 4th.
Patrick Corbin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted six innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Washington’s offense scored their runs on three hits but didnjson’t have any timely hitting, as they didn’t score a run until the 4th inning.
Nationals Gambling
Washington’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 38-42. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. Overall, 59.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 48-35 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 28-19 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 41-27 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.
Nationals Stats
The Washington Nationals have struggled offensively this season, ranking 20th in runs per game, home runs, and batting average. Their OPS of .669 is 23rd in the league. However, shortstop CJ Abrams has been a bright spot, hitting .283 with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs. Over his last 9 games, he’s hitting .469 with 2 home runs and 6 RBIs. Outfielder Jesse Winker is also having a solid season, hitting .256 with 9 home runs and 37 RBIs. He’s struggled recently, hitting just .172 over his last 10 games. The Nationals will need more production from their lineup if they want to improve their offensive output.
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Mets Nationals Pitching
David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals. Peterson has picked up wins in each of his first two starts, and he has been able to go at least 6 innings in each outing. In his last start, he struck out 8 batters in 4 1/3 innings, but he did give up 3 runs on 5 hits.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.60 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.39, and he has turned in five quality starts. In his last outing, Gore took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .256 off Gore this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.48 strikeouts and 2.96 walks.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 8-2 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 6-4 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Nationals are 3-7 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Nationals have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 1-2 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 2-1 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Nationals have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will come out on top by a score of 6-3. With the Nationals picking up the win, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where they are currently at -107.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have MacKenzie Gore finishing with the most strikeouts among starters with six. As for David Peterson, we have him finishing with five K’s. However, Peterson is projected to go five innings, while Gore is projected to go just four.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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