Free MLB Pick: Mets vs Nationals Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals free plays? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Nationals on Friday, April 28, 2017 at Nationals Park in Washington DC. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions.
(8-12 New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals (15-6)
Date: Friday, April 28, 2017
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Nationals Park, Washington DC
Projected Pitchers: Zach Wheeler vs. Stephen Strasburg
MLB Moneyline Odds: New York -115 | Washington +100
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Washington -1.5
MLB Betting Total: 7.5
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New York Mets
On the surface, Zach Wheeler appears to be having a difficult time transitioning to the new baseball season after almost two straight seasons out with injuries.
However he has pitched better than his results that have led to him currently holding a 5.40 ERA in 21.2 innings.
He is striking out almost one batter per inning whic his on pace for his best season in MLB back in 2014, his walk rate is also the lowest it’s been in his young career.
He has been giving up homeruns at a troubling pace, but the biggest reason behind his troubles has been recording outs with men on base as his strand rate is at 57%, bad enough to be in the bottom four in the league.
If Wheeler can bring his strand rate to even league average, he’ll see a drastic improvement in his surface stats.
The Nationals have the luxury of having back to back ace pitchers, in Friday’s game Max Scherzer took the mound and a day later another high level pitcher will take the mound in Stephen Strasburg.
Strasburg has been steady thus far this sesason, with a 2.89 ERA, but is also posting the lowest strikeout rate of his career. Yet instead of strikeouts, Strasburg is inducing groundballs at a career high rate and good enough for a top 10 in the league.
However the defense behind him is one of the worst in the league in multiple metrics and has caused his ERA to be worse than he’s pitching.
Strasburg’s FIP is 2.11 and as long as he’s inducing groundballs rather than striking people out, he may see more runs cross home plate thanks to his porous defense.
MLB Baseball Betting Trends:
- NYM are 1-10 in their last 11 overall.
- WAS are 13-3 in their last 16 overall.
- WAS are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a favorite.
Free New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Prediction:
Wheeler is beginning to slowly find his form and has been unlucky this season in his ability to strand runners. Yet Strasburg is the better pitcher and the Nationals are a team that take advantage of RISP.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: OVER 7.5
Yoenis Cespedes has gone on the DL which will impact the Mets offense, but the Nationals still have one of the best offenses and offensive players in baseball.
MLB Free Score Prediction: New York 3 – Washington 6
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