Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Blue Jays on Monday, September 9th, 2024 at Rogers Centre, in Toronto, ON. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Blue Jays free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays
(78-65) New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays (68-76)
Date: Monday, September 9th
Time: 7:07 ET
Venue: Rogers Centre Toronto, ON
Projected Starting Pitchers: Paul Blackburn vs. Chris Bassitt
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -116 | Blue Jays -105 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Blue Jays +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Blue Jays Gameday
At 7:07 PM ET in Toronto, the Mets are taking on the Blue Jays in an interleague matchup. The Mets are the favorites in this one, with a money line of -116 compared to the Blue Jays’ -105. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over paying out at -121 compared to the under at -101.
On the mound for the Mets is Paul Blackburn, while the Blue Jays are countering with Chris Bassitt. The Mets are currently sitting in 2nd place in the NL East with a record of 78-65, while the Blue Jays are in 5th place in the AL East with a record of 68-76.
New York Mets
The Mets are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 78-65 overall this season. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. They have an overall series record of 25-16-8, and they have won four straight series, including two straight on the road.
At home, the Mets are 40-34 compared to 38-31 on the road. New York has been good as the favorite this year, going 51-36 and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has been hot recently, going 9-1 across their last 10 games.
The Mets will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Reds scored two runs in the top of the 9th. New York was the -210 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Severino put together a good start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out eight. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Phil Maton took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a big game from Harrison Bader, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
Mets Gambling
The Mets are on the road today against the Blue Jays, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 71-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-18. Overall, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 24.5% of their games this season. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 39-30. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game. They are 33-23 against the run line as an underdog and 39-48 as a favorite.
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Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a solid offensive team this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 7th in the league. Their home runs total of 182 is 5th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .270 with 30 home runs and 84 RBI, while Alonso has 31 home runs and 79 RBI. Mark Vientos has been hot at the plate, going 6 for 19 with 3 home runs and 5 RBI over his last 5 games. Jose Iglesias is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 68-76 overall and trails the Rays by 3.5 games for 4th place in the AL East. So far, they are 20-26 against other teams in the AL East and are 14.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays are just below .500 both at home (34-35) and on the road (34-41).
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 41-28 this year, and they are 27-48 as the underdog. At home, they have lost two straight, and their overall series record is 16-24-6. Toronto has dropped three straight series.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog going into this road game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Braves but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs. The Blue Jays also wasted a good start from Yariel Rodriguez, who went five innings and gave up just one run while striking out six.
Blue Jays Gambling
When the Toronto Blue Jays play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-66. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 23-19. Overall, 19.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 73-71, and they are 25-44 against the run line at home. They are 48-27 against the run line on the road, and their current run line losing streak at home is at two games. They are 2-0 against the run line as an underdog in their last two games.
Blue Jays Stats
The Toronto Blue Jays offense has been average this season, ranking 19th in runs per game both at home and on the road. They are 18th in total home runs, with a .242 team batting average that is 14th in the league. Their top hitter this season has been Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is hitting .324 with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. George Springer has 19 home runs and 56 RBIs. Spencer Horwitz has been hot at the plate, hitting .361 with 4 home runs and 8 RBIs over his last 10 games. The Blue Jays have a few players on hitting streaks, with Justin Turner at 4 games, Alejandro Kirk at 6 games, and Joey Loperfido at 3 games.
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Mets Blue Jays Pitching
New York is sending right-hander Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 5-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his 14 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Blackburn took the loss, going just 2 1/3 innings vs. the Padres. In that short outing, he gave up five earned runs, 10 hits, and two homers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two home runs. Against the Mets today, Bassitt will look to keep the ball in the park and put together a better overall outing. Looking back at his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them. Bassitt’s ERA for the season is 4.30, along with a record of 9-13. Out of his 28 starts, he has 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings.
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 8-2 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Blue Jays are 4-6 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Blue Jays have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 3-0 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Blue Jays have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 1-2 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
At -105, the Blue Jays on the money line is a great value pick today. We have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider the over/under, and if so, we would take the over at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt has the fourth-best chance of picking up a win among today’s starters. We have him finishing with six strikeouts and finishing with the sixth-lowest ERA among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Sunday Night Football Intros:
Blue Jays Edition 😎🎙️🏈 #NFL pic.twitter.com/CTUMBoJstz
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 9, 2024
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