Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Mariners Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Mariners on Sunday, August 11th, 2024 at T-Mobile Park, in Seattle, WA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Mariners free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners
(61-56) New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners (62-56)
Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN
Date: Sunday, August 11th
Time: 7:10 ET
Venue: T-Mobile Park Seattle, WA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Luis Castillo
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +111 | Mariners -132 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Mariners -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Mets vs. Mariners Gameday
It’s a battle of the Luis’s tonight in Seattle, as Luis Severino takes the mound for the Mets against Luis Castillo for the Mariners. The Mets are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Mariners are riding a three-game winning streak. First pitch is set for 7:10 at T-Mobile Park.
Oddsmakers have this one as a close matchup, with the Mariners coming in as slight favorites at -132. The Mets are sitting at +111 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, with the over paying out at -107 and the under at -114.
Seattle cruised to a 4-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run.
Logan Gilbert pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sean Manaea had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss.
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Offensively, the Mariners were led by Justin Turner and Randy Arozarena, as they were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit. Turner and Arozarena each scored two runs and drove in a run.
The Mets are on the road today, and they are looking to pick up a win, as they have dropped two straight games. Currently, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, eight games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they are 20-16 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Mets are 30-29 this year, and they have gone 31-27 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets’ overall record is 23-25 compared to 38-31 as the favorite. New York has an overall series record of 19-14-7 this year.
The Mets have played in 70.1% of their games this season with over/under lines higher than today’s 7.5, and their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game. They have gone 11-13 in games with a 7.5 over/under line, and their over/under record for the season is 58-55. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. They have gone under the total in seven straight games.
Mets Gambling
When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 31-27, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. They are 28-20 against the run line as the underdog, but just 28-41 as the favorite. Their average run differential on the road is +0.4 runs per game.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been solid offensively this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their offense has been particularly strong on the road, where they average 5.1 runs per game, good for 4th in the league. The Mets have hit a total of 146 home runs this season, which is 6th in the league. Their top hitters for the season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .258 with 22 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Alonso is hitting .242 with 25 home runs and 63 RBIs. Lindor has been hot lately, hitting .348 over his last 5 games. The Mets have a few players on hitting streaks, including Lindor, who has a 5-game hitting streak.
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Seattle is currently 2nd in the AL West, and they are tied with the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners have an overall record of 62-56 heading into today’s game vs. the Mets, and they have won three straight games, including the first two games of this series vs. the Mets. So far, they have gone 19-13 in AL West matchups.
At home, the Mariners are 36-26 this season, and they are just above .500 at 26-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Mariners have gone 43-35 this season and 19-21 as the underdog. Seattle’s overall series record is 16-19-2, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
Seattle has been a solid under team this season, with a 50-63 O/U record. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone under 13 times and over 22 times. The under has hit in their last three games.
Mariners Gambling
Seattle has been a run line bettor’s nightmare this season, going 52-66 overall and 26-36 at home. They have been a run line favorite in 78 games and have gone 31-47 in those contests. Their average run differential is +0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by 3.2 runs per game in their losses.
Mariners Stats
When it comes to the Seattle Mariners’ offense, they have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which ranks 28th in the league. Their batting average of .217 is the worst in the league, and they also rank 29th in strikeouts per game at 10. However, they do draw walks well, ranking 4th in that category. Their top hitters for the season include Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, and Cal Raleigh. Arozarena has been hitting .263 over his last 6 games, while Luke Raley has 2 home runs in his last 3 games. Mitch Haniger is currently on a 3-game hitting streak.
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Mets Mariners Pitching
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 7-5 with an ERA of 4.06. Looking back at his last outing, Severino took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two home runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .231 off Severino this year, and his WHIP is currently 1.25. Out of his 22 starts, Severino has nine quality starts and is averaging 7.06 strikeouts per nine innings.
Seattle is sending right-hander Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Mets. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 9-11 with a 3.48 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Castillo has a WHIP of 1.17 and has issued just 2.4 walks per nine innings. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 16 quality starts. Castillo’s last outing came vs. the Tigers, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without giving up a homer.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 5-5 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Mariners are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Mariners have a 5-5 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Mariners have a record of 3-0 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted score for this Mets vs. Mariners matchup is 4-2 in favor of the Mets. With the Mets being the underdog, there is a lot of value in taking them on the money line, where they are currently paying out at +111.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Severino finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing eighth among starters. As for Luis Castillo, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, and he is projected to finish 13th among starters.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Looking good, Seattle 💙 pic.twitter.com/lfNfoCSNMX
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 11, 2024
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