Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Padres Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Padres on Thursday, August 22nd, 2024 at PETCO Park, in San Diego, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Padres free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs San Diego Padres
(66-61) New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (72-56)
Date: Thursday, August 22nd
Time: 9:40 ET
Venue: PETCO Park San Diego, CA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Luis Severino vs. Dylan Cease
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +131 | Padres -154 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets +1.5 | Padres -1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 7.5
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Mets vs. Padres Gameday
At 9:40 PM ET, the New York Mets will be taking on the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park in San Diego, CA. The weather forecast for this NL matchup is 75 degrees with a clear sky.
On the mound for the Mets is Luis Severino, while the Padres will counter with Dylan Cease. The Padres come into this game with a record of 72-56, while the Mets are 66-61. The Padres are the favorite in this one, with a money line payout of -154 compared to the Mets at +131. The over/under line is currently set at 7.5 runs.
New York Mets
The Mets are 66-61 overall and trail the Phillies by 8.5 games in the NL East. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. They are on the road today, taking on the Padres, and they are 31-28 on the road this season.
At home, the Mets are just above .500 at 35-33. New York has dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 23-26 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Mets are 43-35 this year, and they have an overall series record of 21-16-7.
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Heading into their last game vs. the Orioles, the Mets closed out the series with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -142. It got a little tense at the end, as the Orioles pulled to within one run in the 8th, but Edwin Diaz was able to close things out and pick up the save.
Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Orioles batters. The Mets’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 2/4 with a homer and a run scored.
Mets Gambling
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Mets and their opponents have combined to average 9.3 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Mets games this season is 64-59, with the average line set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 12-13. The over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 71.7% of Mets games this season.
When the Mets are on the road, they are 31-28 against the run line, but they have failed to cover in their last three games. They are 28-21 against the run line as the underdog, but just 31-47 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.6, while it is -3.5 in losing games.
Mets Stats
When it comes to offense, the New York Mets have been solid this season. They are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their home and road splits are pretty consistent, scoring 4.6 runs per game at home and 5.0 runs per game on the road. The Mets have hit 162 home runs this season, which is 5th in the league. Their top hitters this season have been Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor is hitting .266 with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Alonso is hitting .243 with 27 home runs and 69 RBIs. Lindor has been particularly hot lately, hitting .333 with 3 home runs and 6 RBIs over his last 8 games. Mark Vientos has also been on a tear, hitting .344 with 3 home runs and 7 RBIs over his last 8 games.
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San Diego Padres
San Diego is currently 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by four games for the division lead. The Padres are 72-56 overall, and they are 20-20 in divisional games. The Padres will host the Mets today with an overall record of 35-30 at home and 37-26 on the road.
As the favorite, the Padres have gone 45-34 this year and 27-22 as the underdog. They are also 28-22 as the home favorite. San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-3 this season, and they won their most recent series vs. the Twins.
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with an 11-4 loss. San Diego was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Twins scored seven times in the 4th.
Offensively, the Padres only had four fewer hits than the Twins but scored just four runs. Three of their runs came in the 4th inning, and the other came in the 5th. Jackson Merrill had a big game, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Padres Gambling
The Padres have been a strong over team this season, with a 69-58 over/under record. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 19-21 to the over. Their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 40 of their 128 games this season, and they are currently on a three-game over streak.
San Diego’s run line record is 67-61 on the season, with a run differential of +0.5 runs per game. The Padres have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 41-22 compared to 26-39 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-15 on the run line compared to 33-46 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it’s -3.5 runs per game in losses.
Padres Stats
The San Diego Padres have been one of the best hitting teams in the league this season, leading the MLB in batting average at .265. Their offense has been especially potent on the road, where they average 5.0 runs per game, which is 5th best in the league. Their slugging percentage of .419 is 9th best in the league, and their .744 OPS is 6th best. Jurickson Profar has been one of their top hitters this season, leading the team with 76 RBIs and 20 home runs. Jackson Merrill has been hot at the plate, hitting .333 over his last 7 games, and is currently on a 6-game hitting streak.
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Mets Padres Pitching
Luis Severino will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Marlins, he went nine innings, picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Severino has made 24 starts and has a record of 8-6. His ERA for the season is 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.22. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season. Severino has one complete game shutout this year and 10 quality starts. For the season, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings.
Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Rockies. In that start, Cease went 5 2/3 innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has made 26 starts and has a record of 12-9. His ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.02. Cease has one complete game shutout this year and 13 quality starts. For the season, Cease is averaging 11.29 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease’s ERA at home is 3.29 compared to 4.55 on the road.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 4-6 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 4-6 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Padres are 6-4 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Padres have a 3-7 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 0-3 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Padres have a record of 1-2 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 2-1 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -154. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay option, you could also consider taking the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts compared to Luis Severino with five. However, we have Severino finishing with a better ERA, as he is projected to give up just two earned runs compared to Cease with three.
Today’s MLB Free Pick
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MLB Betting Tweet Of The Day
There’s no place quite like @PetcoPark 💛#ForTheFaithful pic.twitter.com/vKsziNWAge
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) August 21, 2024
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