Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Pirates Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Pirates on Monday, July 8th, 2024 at PNC Park, in Pittsburgh, PA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Pirates free pick.
2024 MLB Handicapping – New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates
(44-44) New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (42-47)
Date: Monday, July 8th
Time: 12:35 ET
Venue: PNC Park Pittsburgh, PA
Projected Starting Pitchers: Christian Scott vs. Mitch Keller
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets -106 | Pirates -113 (Bet Now!)
Today’s MLB Run Line Betting Odds: Mets -1.5 | Pirates +1.5
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U: 8.5
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Mets vs. Pirates Gameday
It’s a beautiful day for baseball in Pittsburgh as the Pirates host the Mets at PNC Park. First pitch is set for 12:35 PM ET with the game being televised on SN PT. The Mets are slight underdogs in this one, with the Pirates holding a slight edge on the money line at -113 compared to the Mets at -106.
On the mound for the Mets is Christian Scott, while the Pirates will counter with Mitch Keller. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the over carrying a payout of -119 compared to the under at -103.
New York rallied for two runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Pirates series. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 8th, picking up a 3-2 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -130 on the money line.
Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Luis L. Ortiz, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Pirates. Aroldis Chapman took the loss. Edwin Díaz got the win out of the bullpen for the Mets as Sean Manaea went six innings, giving up two hits and no earned runs.
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Offensively, the Mets were led by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/4 with two RBIs. Lindor scored the game’s first run and then scored the go-ahead run in the 8th. Ke’Bryan Hayes had two hits and an RBI for the Pirates.
The Mets are looking to move above .500 today, as they are currently 44-44 overall. New York has won two straight games, and they are 13.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 13-12 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Mets are 21-25 this season compared to 23-19 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets have gone 10-8 this year, and they are 25-23 as the favorite overall. New York has an overall series record of 13-13-4 this year.
The Mets have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 46-39, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 13 times and under 9 times. Overall, 23.9% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs or higher. They have gone under in their last two games.
Mets Gambling
The Mets have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 24-18. Their overall run line record is 41-47, with an average run margin of 0.0 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 24-16 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4 runs per game, while it is -3.3 runs per game in losing games.
Mets Stats
The New York Mets have been a strong offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game away from home, which is the best mark in the league. Overall, they are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which ranks 9th in the MLB. Their home run total of 110 is 4th in the league, and their .167 ISO is also 5th. Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso, and Brandon Nimmo have been the Mets’ top hitters this season, with Nimmo leading the team in RBIs. Lindor has been solid over his last 5 games, going 5 for 19 with 3 runs, 1 HR, and 4 RBIs. Jose Iglesias is currently on a 3-game hitting streak for the Mets.
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Pittsburgh is 42-47 overall and trails the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. The Pirates have dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Mets 1-2. So far, they have gone just 13-13 in divisional games. Pittsburgh has gone 21-24 at home compared to 21-23 on the road.
As the underdog, the Pirates are 25-28 this year, and they have lost three straight as the underdog overall. At home, they are 10-11 as the underdog. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 11-13-4, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Pirates have played 88 games this season, and 46 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 or lower. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 41-47. When the line has been set at 8.5, their record is 15-11. They have gone under in two straight games.
Pirates Gambling
When the Pirates win, they do so by an average of 3.2 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. They are 48-41 against the run line this season, including 22-23 at home. They are 26-18 against the run line on the road, and they are 36-17 against the run line as an underdog.
Pirates Stats
The Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which ranks 23rd in the league. Their offense has been particularly anemic at home, where they average just 3.9 runs per game. The Pirates’ batting average of .230 is 15th in the league, and their OPS of .665 ranks 24th. Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, with a .281 batting average and 16 home runs. He has been hot lately, hitting .294 with 3 home runs and 8 RBIs over his last 8 games. Oneil Cruz has also been a key contributor, hitting .243 with 13 home runs and 39 RBIs this season.
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Mets Pirates Pitching
Christian Scott gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Pirates on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 4.32. Scott has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Scott has not allowed more than two homers in any other outing this year. Opponents are batting .240 off Scott this year, and his WHIP is 1.14.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Pirates today. In that July 2nd start, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Keller has given up at least four earned runs in three of them. Keller’s ERA for the season is 3.48, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents have hit .248 off Keller this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.35 walks compared to 8.36 strikeouts.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Baseball Betting Trends
- The Mets head into the game having gone 6-4 straight-up in their last ten games on the road.
- The Mets they are 5-5 vs. the runline in their previous ten games on the road.
- Conversely, the Pirates are 5-5 over their last ten home games (straight-up).
- Furthermore, the Pirates have a 6-4 mark vs. the runline across their last ten home games.
- Also, the Mets are 2-1 in their last three games as the favorite. On the other hand, they are 1-2 as the underdog (last 3).
- The Pirates have a record of 2-1 across their last three games when favored. As the underdog, they are 0-3 in their last three games.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates 4* Free MLB Betting Pick:
Our predicted final score for this Mets vs. Pirates matchup is 6-3 in favor of the Mets. With the Mets being the underdog on the money line at -106, we see this as a great value pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitch Keller is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is third-best among today’s starters. As for Christian Scott, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a 4.50 ERA.
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