Free MLB Pick: Mets vs. Phillies Odds
Looking for New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies free MLB predictions? MLB betting sees the Mets taking on the Phillies on Thursday, September 17, 2020, at Citizens Bank Park, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all MLB baseball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily MLB predictions like this Mets Phillies free pick.
2020 MLB Handicapping
(22-27) New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (24-24)
Date: Thursday, September 17, 2020
Time: 7:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA.
Projected Pitchers: Lugo (NYM), Nola (PHI)
MLB Moneyline Odds: Mets +110, Phillies -125
MLB RunLine Betting Odds: Phillies -1.5 (+160)
MLB Baseball Gambling Total: O/U 7.5
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The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are set to play the final installment of a 3 game series on Thursday night with the series split at one game each. The Phillies won Tuesday’s opener 4-1 and the Mets pulled out a 5-4 win on Wednesday night.
New York Mets
The Mets sit 5 games below .500 after snapping a 3 game skid on Wednesday night. Despite leading the league in batting average (.279) and on-base percentage (.354) they rank 10th in RBIs.
New York has struggled to translate this offensive success into runs scored. They strand a league worst 3.98 runners in scoring position per game. They will need to improve their production with runners in scoring position if they want to make a run at the postseason.
Seth Lugo will take the mound for the Mets on Thursday night. The righty is 2-3 on the year and sports a solid 2.63 ERA. Although he’s lost 2 of his last 3 decisions, he registered a win against the Phillies earlier this month.
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia sits on top of the National League wild card race. They boast a dangerous lineup that is capable of putting up runs in a hurry. They rank fourth in the league in on-base percentage (.339) and fifth in runs per game (5.26). The Phillies will look to get to Lugo early to seal a series win at home.
Aaron Nola will get the nod for Philadelphia coming off an extra day of rest. Nola has been a force this season with a 5-3 record and a 2.40 ERA. He was dominant his last time out throwing 7 scoreless innings and tallying 10 strikeouts in an 11-0 to win over the Marlins.
MLB Betting Trends:
- NY is 0-4 in Lugo’s last for road starts
- PHI is 6-1 in their last 7 home games
- PHI is 7-1 in their last 8 games against right handed starting pitchers
- PHI is 12-6 as home favorites this season
Free New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction:
Philadelphia has played well at home this season. As good as Nola has pitched this year he’s been ever better at home with a 1.57 ERA. I expect him to have a solid outing against a Mets team that’s struggled with runners in scoring position.
Philadelphia’s offense should have some success against Lugo. Although Lugo’s had a solid year he has struggled at Citizens Bank Park throughout his career, holding a 5.51 ERA. He has yet to register a win on the road this season. I don’t expect that to change Thursday night and will back the Phillies to get the win.
4* Free MLB Betting Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -125
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